Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise MedinCell S.A.'s (EPA:MEDCL) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Higher

ENXTPA:MEDCL
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The MedinCell S.A. (EPA:MEDCL) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 6.2% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in France's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider MedinCell as a stock not worth researching with its 16x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for MedinCell

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:MEDCL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2024

How MedinCell Has Been Performing

MedinCell certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think MedinCell's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like MedinCell's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 170% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 80% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.6% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we can see why MedinCell is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On MedinCell's P/S

Shares in MedinCell have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that MedinCell maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for MedinCell (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on MedinCell, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.