Stock Analysis

Is DBV Technologies (EPA:DBV) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?

ENXTPA:DBV
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether DBV Technologies (EPA:DBV) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for DBV Technologies

Does DBV Technologies Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When DBV Technologies last reported its balance sheet in March 2023, it had zero debt and cash worth US$192m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$76m. Therefore, from March 2023 it had 2.5 years of cash runway. Importantly, analysts think that DBV Technologies will reach cashflow breakeven in 4 years. Essentially, that means the company will either reduce its cash burn, or else require more cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:DBV Debt to Equity History June 23rd 2023

How Well Is DBV Technologies Growing?

Over the last year, DBV Technologies maintained its cash burn at a fairly steady level. Unfortunately, however, operating revenue actually dropped 15%, which is a worry. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For DBV Technologies To Raise More Cash For Growth?

DBV Technologies seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

DBV Technologies' cash burn of US$76m is about 19% of its US$395m market capitalisation. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

Is DBV Technologies' Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of DBV Technologies' cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Shareholders can take heart from the fact that analysts are forecasting it will reach breakeven. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about DBV Technologies' situation. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for DBV Technologies (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course DBV Technologies may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.