Vivendi SE

ENXTPA:VIV Stock Report

Market Cap: €9.0b

Vivendi Valuation

Is VIV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VIV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VIV (€8.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€17.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VIV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VIV?

Key metric: As VIV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VIV. This is calculated by dividing VIV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VIV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.2x
Earnings€389.00m
Market Cap€9.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VIV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VIV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
TFI TF1
7.7x12.6%€1.5b
MMT Métropole Télévision
6.4x-6.4%€1.4b
NRG NRJ Group
10.8x0.02%€541.8m
MMB Lagardere
39x26.3%€2.9b
VIV Vivendi
23.2x31.1%€9.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VIV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the peer average (16x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VIV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the FR Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALSRS Sirius Media
0.3xn/aUS$672.70k
No more companies available in this PE range
VIV 23.2xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VIV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the French Media industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VIV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VIV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.2x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VIV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VIV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.94
€12.83
+43.5%
12.3%€15.20€11.00n/a7
Nov ’25€9.78
€13.13
+34.3%
10.6%€15.20€11.00n/a7
Oct ’25€10.42
€13.09
+25.6%
9.4%€15.20€11.00n/a9
Sep ’25€10.15
€13.01
+28.3%
9.0%€15.20€11.00n/a9
Aug ’25€9.63
€13.01
+35.1%
9.0%€15.20€11.00n/a9
Jul ’25€9.87
€13.37
+35.4%
9.2%€15.50€11.00n/a10
Jun ’25€10.10
€13.37
+32.4%
9.2%€15.50€11.00n/a11
May ’25€9.57
€13.36
+39.7%
9.1%€15.50€11.00n/a11
Apr ’25€10.10
€13.26
+31.3%
9.0%€15.50€11.00n/a11
Mar ’25€10.47
€12.97
+24.0%
8.7%€15.20€11.00n/a11
Feb ’25€10.30
€12.56
+21.9%
10.0%€15.20€9.80n/a12
Jan ’25€9.68
€12.23
+26.3%
9.6%€14.70€9.80n/a12
Dec ’24€8.71
€12.06
+38.5%
10.4%€14.70€9.80n/a12
Nov ’24€8.47
€12.00
+41.7%
10.4%€14.70€9.80€9.7813
Oct ’24€8.30
€12.11
+45.9%
10.5%€15.00€9.80€10.4213
Sep ’24€8.46
€12.35
+45.9%
8.6%€15.00€10.90€10.1514
Aug ’24€8.14
€12.34
+51.5%
8.9%€15.00€10.90€9.6313
Jul ’24€8.41
€12.35
+47.0%
9.1%€15.00€10.50€9.8714
Jun ’24€8.34
€12.45
+49.4%
10.1%€15.10€10.50€10.1014
May ’24€9.95
€12.75
+28.1%
8.8%€15.40€11.00€9.5714
Apr ’24€9.30
€12.75
+37.1%
9.0%€15.40€11.00€10.1014
Mar ’24€9.79
€12.30
+25.7%
10.0%€14.60€9.40€10.4714
Feb ’24€9.89
€12.13
+22.6%
10.7%€14.60€9.40€10.3016
Jan ’24€8.91
€12.04
+35.0%
10.6%€14.40€9.40€9.6816
Dec ’23€8.90
€11.99
+34.7%
10.5%€14.40€9.40€8.7116
Nov ’23€8.35
€11.99
+43.6%
10.5%€14.40€9.40€8.4716

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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