JCDecaux Valuation

Is DEC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DEC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DEC (€15.19) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€6.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DEC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DEC?

Key metric: As DEC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DEC. This is calculated by dividing DEC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DEC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.2x
Earnings€265.80m
Market Cap€3.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DEC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DEC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.7x
IPS Ipsos
10.8x10.2%€2.0b
PUB Publicis Groupe
18x5.2%€26.3b
DKUPL ADLPartner
10.9xn/a€141.6m
ALVAZ Vaziva Société anonyme
87.1xn/a€123.9m
DEC JCDecaux
12.2x5.0%€3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (31.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DEC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the FR Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALSRS Sirius Media
0.4xn/aUS$878.87k
No more companies available in this PE range
DEC 12.2xIndustry Avg. 10.9xNo. of Companies3PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DEC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the French Media industry average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DEC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DEC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ratio11.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DEC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DEC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.19
€20.23
+33.2%
16.7%€25.00€13.00n/a11
Dec ’25€14.09
€20.95
+48.7%
15.0%€26.00€15.90n/a12
Nov ’25€17.35
€22.72
+30.9%
13.9%€28.30€15.90n/a12
Oct ’25€19.59
€22.81
+16.4%
13.7%€28.30€15.90n/a12
Sep ’25€18.67
€22.72
+21.7%
13.1%€27.20€15.90n/a12
Aug ’25€19.34
€22.98
+18.8%
10.6%€27.20€19.10n/a12
Jul ’25€18.64
€22.34
+19.9%
11.4%€26.20€17.70n/a12
Jun ’25€21.80
€22.00
+0.9%
12.7%€26.20€17.70n/a12
May ’25€19.62
€21.36
+8.9%
12.8%€25.90€16.30n/a12
Apr ’25€18.00
€21.36
+18.7%
12.8%€25.90€16.30n/a12
Mar ’25€19.47
€21.13
+8.5%
12.1%€25.00€16.30n/a12
Feb ’25€18.94
€20.62
+8.9%
12.0%€25.00€16.30n/a12
Jan ’25€18.20
€20.47
+12.5%
11.2%€24.00€17.40n/a12
Dec ’24€17.86
€20.31
+13.7%
12.6%€24.00€15.50€14.0912
Nov ’24€14.96
€20.35
+36.0%
13.2%€25.00€15.50€17.3512
Oct ’24€16.02
€20.54
+28.2%
12.5%€25.00€15.70€19.5912
Sep ’24€16.95
€20.50
+20.9%
12.2%€25.00€15.70€18.6712
Aug ’24€17.01
€20.50
+20.5%
12.2%€25.00€15.70€19.3412
Jul ’24€18.26
€20.87
+14.3%
12.8%€26.00€15.40€18.6412
Jun ’24€19.03
€20.87
+9.7%
12.8%€26.00€15.40€21.8012
May ’24€20.08
€21.01
+4.6%
13.4%€27.00€15.80€19.6212
Apr ’24€19.31
€20.71
+7.2%
15.1%€27.00€15.80€18.0012
Mar ’24€22.52
€20.63
-8.4%
16.9%€27.50€14.00€19.4712
Feb ’24€21.04
€20.22
-3.9%
18.2%€27.50€14.00€18.9412
Jan ’24€17.72
€16.51
-6.8%
18.4%€21.00€12.00€18.2013
Dec ’23€17.58
€16.28
-7.4%
20.0%€21.00€12.00€17.8613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 09:02
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

JCDecaux SE is covered by 29 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Véronique Cabioc'h Le BrunAlphaValue
JULIEN ROCHBarclays
Sarah SimonBerenberg