Stock Analysis

Ubisoft Entertainment (EPA:UBI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

ENXTPA:UBI
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Ubisoft Entertainment SA (EPA:UBI) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ubisoft Entertainment

What Is Ubisoft Entertainment's Debt?

As you can see below, Ubisoft Entertainment had €2.19b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €1.21b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €985.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:UBI Debt to Equity History August 4th 2024

A Look At Ubisoft Entertainment's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ubisoft Entertainment had liabilities of €1.06b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €2.18b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €1.21b in cash and €1.03b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €1.01b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Ubisoft Entertainment has a market capitalization of €2.25b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Ubisoft Entertainment has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 6.4 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. We also note that Ubisoft Entertainment improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive €321m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ubisoft Entertainment's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Ubisoft Entertainment burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Ubisoft Entertainment's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Ubisoft Entertainment's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Ubisoft Entertainment is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is significant...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.