Stock Analysis

Ipsos SA's (EPA:IPS) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

ENXTPA:IPS
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There wouldn't be many who think Ipsos SA's (EPA:IPS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in France is similar at about 14x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

There hasn't been much to differentiate Ipsos' and the market's retreating earnings lately. It seems that few are expecting the company's earnings performance to deviate much from most other companies, which has held the P/E back. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. In saying that, existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the share price if the company's earnings continue tracking the market.

See our latest analysis for Ipsos

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:IPS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 12th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ipsos.

How Is Ipsos' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Ipsos' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its EPS growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow earnings meaningfully over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 14% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Ipsos is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Ipsos' P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Ipsos currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Ipsos that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.