Stock Analysis

We Think Ramsay Générale de Santé (EPA:GDS) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

ENXTPA:GDS
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Ramsay Générale de Santé SA (EPA:GDS) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Ramsay Générale de Santé

What Is Ramsay Générale de Santé's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Ramsay Générale de Santé had €1.97b of debt, up from €1.80b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has €220.9m in cash leading to net debt of about €1.75b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:GDS Debt to Equity History June 16th 2023

How Healthy Is Ramsay Générale de Santé's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ramsay Générale de Santé had liabilities of €1.49b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €4.23b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €220.9m as well as receivables valued at €376.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €5.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €2.21b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Ramsay Générale de Santé would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Ramsay Générale de Santé has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.9 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.6 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. On the other hand, Ramsay Générale de Santé grew its EBIT by 29% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ramsay Générale de Santé will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Ramsay Générale de Santé actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

While Ramsay Générale de Santé's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. It's also worth noting that Ramsay Générale de Santé is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Ramsay Générale de Santé's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ramsay Générale de Santé (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.