Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Vallourec (EPA:VK) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

ENXTPA:VK
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Vallourec S.A. (EPA:VK) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Vallourec

What Is Vallourec's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Vallourec had debt of €1.47b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from €1.68b over a year. However, it also had €912.2m in cash, and so its net debt is €558.1m.

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ENXTPA:VK Debt to Equity History May 11th 2024

How Strong Is Vallourec's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vallourec had liabilities of €1.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.89b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €912.2m as well as receivables valued at €845.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €1.73b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Vallourec has a market capitalization of €3.75b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Vallourec has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.48. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.3 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Vallourec grew its EBIT by 103% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Vallourec's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Vallourec recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Vallourec's EBIT growth rate was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Vallourec is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Vallourec's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.