Stock Analysis

Key Things To Watch Out For If You Are After Total Gabon's (EPA:EC) 6.6% Dividend

ENXTPA:EC
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Is Total Gabon (EPA:EC) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

With Total Gabon yielding 6.6% and having paid a dividend for over 10 years, many investors likely find the company quite interesting. We'd guess that plenty of investors have purchased it for the income. Some simple analysis can reduce the risk of holding Total Gabon for its dividend, and we'll focus on the most important aspects below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
ENXTPA:EC Historic Dividend January 25th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Although it reported a loss over the past 12 months, Total Gabon currently pays a dividend. When a company recently reported a loss, we should investigate if its cash flows covered the dividend.

Total Gabon's cash payout ratio last year was 14%, which is quite low and suggests that the dividend was thoroughly covered by cash flow.

With a strong net cash balance, Total Gabon investors may not have much to worry about in the near term from a dividend perspective.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Total Gabon's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Total Gabon's dividend payments. Its dividend payments have declined on at least one occasion over the past 10 years. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was US$22.5 in 2011, compared to US$11.0 last year. The dividend has shrunk at around 6.9% a year during that period. Total Gabon's dividend hasn't shrunk linearly at 6.9% per annum, but the CAGR is a useful estimate of the historical rate of change.

We struggle to make a case for buying Total Gabon for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past 10 years.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. It's good to see Total Gabon has been growing its earnings per share at 35% a year over the past five years.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Total Gabon's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. We're a bit uncomfortable with the company paying a dividend while being loss-making, although at least the dividend was covered by free cash flow. We were also glad to see it growing earnings, but it was concerning to see the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Ultimately, Total Gabon comes up short on our dividend analysis. It's not that we think it is a bad company - just that there are likely more appealing dividend prospects out there on this analysis.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Total Gabon that you should be aware of before investing.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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