Wendel Valuation

Is MF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MF (€94.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€137.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.4x
PEG Ratio3.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
PEUG Peugeot Invest Société anonyme
20.3x20.1%€2.8b
RF Eurazeo
3.4x-25.1%€6.3b
TKO Tikehau Capital
20.7x31.0%€3.6b
EDEN Edenred
42.4x24.2%€11.3b
MF Wendel
70.9x18.9%€4.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.9x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.9x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio70.9x
Fair PE Ratio23x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (70.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€93.70
€115.33
+23.1%
9.8%€130.00€100.00n/a6
Apr ’25€94.60
€112.33
+18.7%
10.9%€130.00€95.00n/a6
Mar ’25€90.70
€110.43
+21.8%
11.1%€130.00€95.00n/a7
Feb ’25€83.95
€110.67
+31.8%
11.9%€130.00€95.00n/a6
Jan ’25€80.65
€110.67
+37.2%
11.9%€130.00€95.00n/a6
Dec ’24€78.25
€110.33
+41.0%
12.2%€130.00€95.00n/a6
Nov ’24€71.50
€110.33
+54.3%
12.2%€130.00€95.00n/a6
Oct ’24€75.05
€116.17
+54.8%
7.9%€130.00€100.00n/a6
Sep ’24€84.35
€116.17
+37.7%
7.9%€130.00€100.00n/a6
Aug ’24€90.00
€117.00
+30.0%
8.3%€130.00€100.00n/a6
Jul ’24€94.00
€126.10
+34.1%
11.8%€155.00€115.00n/a5
Jun ’24€100.40
€128.08
+27.6%
11.2%€155.00€115.00n/a6
May ’24€101.60
€128.08
+26.1%
11.2%€155.00€115.00n/a6
Apr ’24€97.35
€125.08
+28.5%
12.4%€155.00€110.00€94.606
Mar ’24€105.10
€123.17
+17.2%
12.7%€155.00€110.00€90.706
Feb ’24€96.85
€123.17
+27.2%
12.7%€155.00€110.00€83.956
Jan ’24€87.20
€121.83
+39.7%
12.7%€155.00€110.00€80.656
Dec ’23€89.60
€121.42
+35.5%
13.0%€155.00€107.50€78.256
Nov ’23€80.40
€121.42
+51.0%
13.0%€155.00€107.50€71.506
Oct ’23€73.85
€126.83
+71.7%
12.3%€155.00€110.00€75.056
Sep ’23€75.30
€127.00
+68.7%
12.2%€155.00€110.00€84.356
Aug ’23€89.15
€127.00
+42.5%
12.2%€155.00€110.00€90.006
Jul ’23€80.55
€134.00
+66.4%
9.5%€155.00€115.00€94.006
Jun ’23€93.95
€134.00
+42.6%
9.5%€155.00€115.00€100.406
May ’23€95.50
€138.33
+44.9%
6.9%€155.00€126.00€101.606
Apr ’23€92.85
€137.83
+48.4%
7.4%€155.00€125.00€97.356

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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