Cesar SA (EPA:ALCES): What Does It Mean For Your Portfolio?

If you are a shareholder in Cesar SA’s (EPA:ALCES), or are thinking about investing in the company, knowing how it contributes to the risk and reward profile of your portfolio is important. Generally, an investor should consider two types of risk that impact the market value of ALCES. The first risk to think about is company-specific, which can be diversified away by investing in other companies in order to lower your exposure to one particular stock. The other type of risk, which cannot be diversified away, is market risk. Every stock in the market is exposed to this risk, which arises from macroeconomic factors such as economic growth and geo-political tussles just to name a few.

Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk. A popular measure of market risk for a stock is its beta, and the market as a whole represents a beta value of one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, and those with a beta less than one is generally less volatile.

Check out our latest analysis for Cesar

What does ALCES’s beta value mean?

With a beta of 1.22, Cesar is a stock that tends to experience more gains than the market during a growth phase and also a bigger reduction in value compared to the market during a broad downturn. Based on this beta value, ALCES may be a stock for investors with a portfolio mainly made up of low-beta stocks. This is because during times of bullish sentiment, you can reap more of the upside with high-beta stocks compared to muted movements of low-beta holdings.

ENXTPA:ALCES Income Statement July 6th 18
ENXTPA:ALCES Income Statement July 6th 18

Could ALCES’s size and industry cause it to be more volatile?

With a market cap of €483.14k, ALCES falls within the small-cap spectrum of stocks, which are found to experience higher relative risk compared to larger companies. Moreover, ALCES’s industry, leisure, is considered to be cyclical, which means it is more volatile than the market over the economic cycle. Therefore, investors may expect high beta associated with small companies, as well as those operating in the leisure industry, relative to those more well-established firms in a more defensive industry. This is consistent with ALCES’s individual beta value we discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

How ALCES’s assets could affect its beta

An asset-heavy company tends to have a higher beta because the risk associated with running fixed assets during a downturn is highly expensive. I examine ALCES’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. Given that fixed assets make up less than a third of the company’s total assets, ALCES doesn’t rely heavily upon these expensive, inflexible assets to run its business during downturns. As a result, the company may be less volatile relative to broad market movements, compared to a company of similar size but higher proportion of fixed assets. However, this is the opposite to what ALCES’s actual beta value suggests, which is higher stock volatility relative to the market.

What this means for you:

You could benefit from higher returns during times of economic growth by holding onto ALCES. Its low fixed cost also means that, in terms of operating leverage, it is relatively flexible during times of economic downturns. In order to fully understand whether ALCES is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Cesar’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is ALCES’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has ALCES been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of ALCES’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.