Two important questions to ask before you buy Elis SA (EPA:ELIS) is, how it makes money and how it spends its cash. What is left after investment, determines the value of the stock since this cash flow technically belongs to investors of the company. Today we will examine Elis’s ability to generate cash flows, as well as the level of capital expenditure it is expected to incur over the next couple of years, which will result in how much money goes to you.
What is free cash flow?
Elis’s free cash flow (FCF) is the level of cash flow the business generates from its operational activities, after it reinvests in the company as capital expenditure. This type of expense is needed for Elis to continue to grow, or at least, maintain its current operations.
The two ways to assess whether Elis’s FCF is sufficient, is to compare the FCF yield to the market index yield, as well as determine whether the top-line operating cash flows will continue to grow.
Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure
Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value
where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt
Elis’s yield of 0.089% indicates its sub-standard capacity to generate cash, compared to the stock market index as a whole, accounting for the size differential. This means investors are taking on more concentrated risk on Elis but are not being adequately rewarded for doing so.
Does Elis have a favourable cash flow trend?Another important consideration is whether this return is likely to be maintained over the next couple of years. We can gauge this by looking at Elis’s expected operating cash flows. Over the next three years, Elis’s operating cash flows is expected to grow by a double-digit 55%, which is encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level. Below is a table of Elis’s operating cash flow in the past year, as well as the anticipated level going forward.
|Current||+1 year||+2 year||+3 year|
|Operating Cash Flow (OCF)||€610m||€817m||€890m||€943m|
|OCF Growth Year-On-Year||34%||9.0%||5.9%|
|OCF Growth From Current Year||46%||55%|
Low free cash flow yield means you are not currently well-compensated for the risk you’re taking on by holding onto Elis relative to a well-diversified market index. However, the high growth in operating cash flow may change the tides in the future. Now you know to keep cash flows in mind, You should continue to research Elis to get a better picture of the company by looking at:
- Valuation: What is ELIS worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ELIS is currently mispriced by the market.
- Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Elis’s board and the CEO’s back ground.
- Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at email@example.com.