Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Haulotte Group SA (EPA:PIG) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Haulotte Group
What Is Haulotte Group's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2020 Haulotte Group had debt of €197.1m, up from €151.4m in one year. However, it does have €28.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €168.6m.
How Healthy Is Haulotte Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Haulotte Group had liabilities of €135.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €171.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €28.5m and €97.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €180.9m.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €158.8m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.9, it's fair to say Haulotte Group does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 4.9 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Shareholders should be aware that Haulotte Group's EBIT was down 55% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Haulotte Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Haulotte Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Haulotte Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Haulotte Group has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Haulotte Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About ENXTPA:PIG
Haulotte Group
Through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets people and material lifting equipment.
Undervalued slight.