Stock Analysis

Manitou BF (EPA:MTU) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

ENXTPA:MTU
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Manitou BF SA (EPA:MTU) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.

View our latest analysis for Manitou BF

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:MTU Earnings and Revenue History March 14th 2024

A Closer Look At Manitou BF's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Manitou BF recorded an accrual ratio of 0.26. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of €143.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through €158m in the last year. We also note that Manitou BF's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of €158m.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Manitou BF's Profit Performance

Manitou BF's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Manitou BF's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Manitou BF at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Manitou BF you should be mindful of and 2 of these are potentially serious.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Manitou BF's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Manitou BF is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.