There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Lisi (EPA:FII) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Lisi:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.072 = €107m ÷ (€1.9b - €425m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Therefore, Lisi has an ROCE of 7.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 10%.
Check out our latest analysis for Lisi
In the above chart we have measured Lisi's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Lisi, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 13% over the last five years. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
The Bottom Line On Lisi's ROCE
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Lisi's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 13% in the last five years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching Lisi, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ENXTPA:FII
Lisi
Provides assembly and component solutions for the aerospace, automotive, and medical industries in France and internationally.
Solid track record and good value.