Stock Analysis

Is Figeac Aero Société Anonyme (EPA:FGA) A Risky Investment?

ENXTPA:FGA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Figeac Aero Société Anonyme (EPA:FGA) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Figeac Aero Société Anonyme

How Much Debt Does Figeac Aero Société Anonyme Carry?

As you can see below, Figeac Aero Société Anonyme had €387.4m of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has €91.7m in cash leading to net debt of about €295.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:FGA Debt to Equity History December 16th 2023

How Strong Is Figeac Aero Société Anonyme's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Figeac Aero Société Anonyme had liabilities of €240.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of €362.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €91.7m and €71.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €439.7m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €180.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Figeac Aero Société Anonyme would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Figeac Aero Société Anonyme shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.26 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for Figeac Aero Société Anonyme is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of €2.9m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Figeac Aero Société Anonyme can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Figeac Aero Société Anonyme actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On the face of it, Figeac Aero Société Anonyme's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Figeac Aero Société Anonyme has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. Even though Figeac Aero Société Anonyme lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Figeac Aero Société Anonyme is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.