Stock Analysis

Is Altheora (EPA:ALORA) A Risky Investment?

ENXTPA:ALORA
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Altheora SA (EPA:ALORA) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Altheora

What Is Altheora's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2022 Altheora had debt of €18.5m, up from €9.80m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €5.80m, its net debt is less, at about €12.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:ALORA Debt to Equity History April 27th 2023

How Strong Is Altheora's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Altheora had liabilities of €14.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €17.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €5.80m in cash and €9.51m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €15.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €9.27m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Altheora would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Altheora will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Altheora reported revenue of €35m, which is a gain of 8.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Altheora had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping €1.4m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of €1.7m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Altheora (at least 2 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.