Stock Analysis

Is BNP Paribas (ENXTPA:BNP) Undervalued? A Fresh Look at the Bank’s Latest Valuation

BNP Paribas (ENXTPA:BNP) has seen its stock hold steady this week, drawing attention as investors weigh the bank's recent financial trends. The company’s annual figures provide insight into how it has performed compared to previous years.

See our latest analysis for BNP Paribas.

BNP Paribas shares have pulled back sharply in recent weeks, even as the bank’s year-to-date share price return remains positive. Still, long-term investors have seen steady momentum, with a 1-year total shareholder return of nearly 16% and over 120% in five years. This underscores its resilience and growth despite near-term volatility.

If the shifting outlook for banks has you thinking more broadly, this could be your cue to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With BNP Paribas trading around a 35% discount to analyst price targets and solid growth in both revenue and net income, investors must decide if the market is overlooking further upside or if future gains are already reflected in the current price.

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Most Popular Narrative: 27.5% Undervalued

Buyers watching BNP Paribas may be overlooking the clear value flagged by the most widely followed narrative, which estimates a fair value well above the last close of €66. This makes the bank one of the more attractive prospects in its sector right now, especially when analysts’ discount rate and longer-term assumptions are taken into account.

The accelerated focus on sustainable and green finance, leveraging BNP Paribas's established ESG platforms and strong inflows into Insurance and Wealth Management, positions the group to capture increasing institutional and retail demand. This expands recurring fee income and attracts higher-quality assets that support improved net margins.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what level of future earnings, margin gains, and long-term transformation are penciled in by analysts to support this valuation? One financial lever stands out as the linchpin of this upbeat outlook, and you may be surprised how it stacks up against competitors. Don’t miss the full story driving this major price target.

Result: Fair Value of $91.07 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing margin pressure in core Eurozone markets or digital disruption from new entrants could quickly challenge the current growth story of BNP Paribas.

Find out about the key risks to this BNP Paribas narrative.

Build Your Own BNP Paribas Narrative

If the consensus doesn’t match your view or you prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can easily build your own BNP Paribas outlook in just a few minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your BNP Paribas research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 4 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BNP Paribas might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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