Earnings Miss: Aspocomp Group Oyj Missed EPS By 63% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

It's shaping up to be a tough period for Aspocomp Group Oyj (HEL:ACG1V), which a week ago released some disappointing quarterly results that could have a notable impact on how the market views the stock. Results showed a clear earnings miss, with €8.8m revenue coming in 6.9% lower than what the analystexpected. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of €0.03 missed the mark badly, arriving some 63% below what was expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analyst is forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analyst has changed their earnings models, following these results.

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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Aspocomp Group Oyj's solitary analyst is for revenues of €42.5m in 2026. This reflects a meaningful 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 93% to €0.45. In the lead-up to this report, the analyst had been modelling revenues of €42.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.49 in 2026. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analyst did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

Check out our latest analysis for Aspocomp Group Oyj

Althoughthe analyst has revised their earnings forecasts for next year, they've also lifted the consensus price target 25% to €5.00, suggesting the revised estimates are not indicative of a weaker long-term future for the business.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Aspocomp Group Oyj's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analyst is definitely expecting Aspocomp Group Oyj's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 11% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 2.4% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 7.2% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analyst also expect Aspocomp Group Oyj to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analyst reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Aspocomp Group Oyj. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analyst believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Aspocomp Group Oyj , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.