Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Shareholders might have noticed that Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj (HEL:WUF1V) filed its full-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.9% to €3.10 in the past week. It looks like a pretty bad result, all things considered. Although revenues of €103m were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings fell badly short, missing estimates by 21% to hit €0.26 per share. Following the result, the analyst has updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analyst has changed their earnings models, following these results.

Check out our latest analysis for Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj's sole analyst is for revenues of €110.5m in 2025. This reflects a modest 7.5% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to shrink 8.3% to €0.24 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analyst had been anticipated revenues of €110.0m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.33 in 2025. The analyst seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a pretty serious reduction to EPS estimates.

The consensus price target held steady at €3.00, with the analyst seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 7.5% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 12% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 2.0% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analyst reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.