Stock Analysis

Factors Income Investors Should Consider Before Adding Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj (HEL:ILK2S) To Their Portfolio

HLSE:ILKKA2
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Is Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj (HEL:ILK2S) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. On the other hand, investors have been known to buy a stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

In this case, Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj likely looks attractive to investors, given its 4.4% dividend yield and a payment history of over ten years. We'd guess that plenty of investors have purchased it for the income. That said, the recent jump in the share price will make Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's dividend yield look smaller, even though the company prospects could be improving. Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj for its dividend - read on to learn more.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
HLSE:ILK2S Historic Dividend January 18th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Looking at the data, we can see that 172% of Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. A payout ratio above 100% is definitely an item of concern, unless there are some other circumstances that would justify it.

In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. Last year, Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj paid a dividend while reporting negative free cash flow. While there may be an explanation, we think this behaviour is generally not sustainable.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's dividend payments. The dividend has been cut on at least one occasion historically. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was €0.3 in 2011, compared to €0.2 last year. This works out to be a decline of approximately 5.4% per year over that time. Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's dividend hasn't shrunk linearly at 5.4% per annum, but the CAGR is a useful estimate of the historical rate of change.

We struggle to make a case for buying Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past 10 years.

Dividend Growth Potential

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS are growing. Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's earnings per share have shrunk at 19% a year over the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. It's a concern to see that the company paid out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow as dividends. Earnings per share have been falling, and the company has cut its dividend at least once in the past. From a dividend perspective, this is a cause for concern. In this analysis, Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj doesn't shape up too well as a dividend stock. We'd find it hard to look past the flaws, and would not be inclined to think of it as a reliable dividend-payer.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Ilkka-Yhtymä Oyj that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock.

If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of dividend stocks yielding above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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