Stora Enso Oyj Valuation

Is STERV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STERV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STERV (€12.86) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€7.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STERV is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STERV?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

STERV key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA38.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does STERV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for STERV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
UPM UPM-Kymmene Oyj
1.7x4.3%€17.7b
HUH1V Huhtamäki Oyj
0.9x4.2%€3.8b
METSB Metsä Board Oyj
1.3x7.9%€2.5b
KEMIRA Kemira Oyj
1x-1.7%€3.3b
STERV Stora Enso Oyj
1.1x5.5%€10.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: STERV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STERV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a23.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: STERV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STERV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STERV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio2.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: STERV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STERV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.86
€13.32
+3.6%
14.3%€16.50€9.80n/a14
Apr ’25€12.89
€12.65
-1.8%
14.7%€16.00€9.60n/a14
Mar ’25€11.79
€12.53
+6.3%
12.1%€14.50€9.60n/a13
Feb ’25€11.25
€12.98
+15.5%
13.5%€15.20€9.60n/a13
Jan ’25€12.53
€12.92
+3.1%
13.3%€15.50€10.00n/a13
Dec ’24€12.00
€12.84
+7.0%
13.5%€15.50€10.00n/a13
Nov ’24€11.32
€12.80
+13.1%
14.3%€15.50€10.00n/a13
Oct ’24€11.89
€12.48
+4.9%
15.8%€15.50€9.70n/a13
Sep ’24€11.86
€12.69
+7.0%
16.0%€15.50€9.80n/a14
Aug ’24€11.21
€12.73
+13.5%
16.4%€15.90€9.80n/a14
Jul ’24€10.63
€13.97
+31.5%
12.5%€16.90€11.50n/a15
Jun ’24€11.97
€13.91
+16.2%
12.6%€16.90€11.50n/a14
May ’24€11.50
€13.91
+20.9%
12.7%€16.90€11.50€12.5514
Apr ’24€11.98
€15.44
+28.9%
9.8%€18.00€13.00€12.8913
Mar ’24€13.58
€15.38
+13.3%
10.7%€18.00€13.00€11.7912
Feb ’24€13.42
€15.46
+15.2%
10.3%€18.00€13.00€11.2511
Jan ’24€13.15
€16.15
+22.8%
13.6%€21.00€14.00€12.5311
Dec ’23€14.20
€16.11
+13.5%
13.0%€21.00€14.00€12.0012
Nov ’23€13.46
€17.40
+29.3%
16.2%€22.00€14.00€11.3212
Oct ’23€13.09
€18.23
+39.3%
13.1%€22.00€14.00€11.8912
Sep ’23€14.33
€18.03
+25.8%
13.7%€22.00€14.00€11.8612
Aug ’23€15.05
€18.15
+20.7%
13.8%€22.00€14.00€11.2112
Jul ’23€14.97
€19.69
+31.5%
15.3%€25.00€15.00€10.6313
Jun ’23€17.50
€20.38
+16.5%
13.4%€25.00€15.90€11.9713
May ’23€18.90
€20.37
+7.8%
13.1%€25.00€15.80€11.5013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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