Suzano Valuation

Is SUZB3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUZB3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SUZB3 (R$62.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$61.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUZB3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUZB3?

Key metric: As SUZB3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SUZB3. This is calculated by dividing SUZB3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SUZB3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.5x
EarningsR$4.18b
Market CapR$77.33b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUZB3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUZB3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.6x
GGBR4 Gerdau
8.6x2.2%R$41.2b
CMIN3 CSN Mineração
7.5x-29.3%R$29.0b
KLBN4 Klabin
13x14.2%R$27.0b
VALE3 Vale
5.2x-6.5%R$250.9b
SUZB3 Suzano
18.5x18.8%R$77.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUZB3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (8.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUZB3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Forestry Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SUZB3 18.5xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies32PE01632486480+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUZB3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the Global Forestry industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUZB3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUZB3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SUZB3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SUZB3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$62.40
R$73.76
+18.2%
10.8%R$88.00R$62.00n/a15
Nov ’25R$59.99
R$73.66
+22.8%
10.7%R$88.00R$62.00n/a15
Oct ’25R$54.89
R$69.27
+26.2%
13.5%R$89.00R$54.60n/a15
Sep ’25R$55.00
R$70.01
+27.3%
14.5%R$94.00R$54.60n/a14
Aug ’25R$53.80
R$70.43
+30.9%
13.2%R$94.00R$56.00n/a16
Jul ’25R$57.65
R$68.88
+19.5%
11.8%R$84.00R$56.00n/a17
Jun ’25R$48.70
R$68.52
+40.7%
11.8%R$82.00R$56.00n/a16
May ’25R$58.46
R$69.01
+18.0%
12.6%R$82.00R$47.00n/a16
Apr ’25R$64.89
R$67.72
+4.4%
12.9%R$82.00R$47.00n/a16
Mar ’25R$57.49
R$65.36
+13.7%
12.5%R$79.00R$47.00n/a16
Feb ’25R$51.10
R$63.75
+24.8%
15.0%R$79.00R$45.00n/a15
Jan ’25R$55.63
R$64.35
+15.7%
13.5%R$79.00R$45.00n/a15
Dec ’24R$51.76
R$64.37
+24.4%
12.2%R$75.00R$45.00R$62.4014
Nov ’24R$51.45
R$62.69
+21.9%
11.6%R$71.00R$45.00R$59.9914
Oct ’24R$54.28
R$59.67
+9.9%
12.5%R$71.00R$48.00R$54.8914
Sep ’24R$51.10
R$59.00
+15.5%
12.7%R$71.00R$48.00R$55.0015
Aug ’24R$48.38
R$57.28
+18.4%
15.4%R$71.00R$41.00R$53.8015
Jul ’24R$44.22
R$57.05
+29.0%
15.4%R$71.00R$41.00R$57.6515
Jun ’24R$45.00
R$57.05
+26.8%
16.0%R$71.00R$41.00R$48.7015
May ’24R$39.80
R$60.26
+51.4%
20.3%R$86.00R$45.00R$58.4616
Apr ’24R$41.60
R$65.14
+56.6%
21.1%R$89.00R$45.00R$64.8916
Mar ’24R$46.77
R$68.50
+46.5%
19.3%R$90.00R$50.00R$57.4913
Feb ’24R$46.75
R$68.18
+45.8%
18.9%R$90.00R$50.00R$51.1014
Jan ’24R$48.24
R$68.89
+42.8%
16.9%R$86.00R$50.00R$55.6314
Dec ’23R$53.17
R$68.32
+28.5%
15.5%R$86.00R$50.00R$51.7614

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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