Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying Metsä Board Oyj (HEL:METSB) Now?

HLSE:METSB
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Metsä Board Oyj (HEL:METSB), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the HLSE over the last few months, increasing to €10.02 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €8.04. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Metsä Board Oyj's current trading price of €8.55 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Metsä Board Oyj’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Metsä Board Oyj

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Is Metsä Board Oyj still cheap?

Great news for investors – Metsä Board Oyj is still trading at a fairly cheap price. According to my valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is €11.84, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. What’s more interesting is that, Metsä Board Oyj’s share price is theoretically quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to move to its intrinsic value, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from Metsä Board Oyj?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
HLSE:METSB Earnings and Revenue Growth February 25th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Metsä Board Oyj, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -1.2%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although METSB is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to METSB, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on METSB for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Metsä Board Oyj (including 1 which is potentially serious).

If you are no longer interested in Metsä Board Oyj, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.