Stock Analysis

Metsä Board Oyj (HEL:METSB) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

HLSE:METSB
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Metsä Board Oyj (HEL:METSB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Metsä Board Oyj

How Much Debt Does Metsä Board Oyj Carry?

As you can see below, Metsä Board Oyj had €467.9m of debt, at March 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has €565.0m in cash, leading to a €97.1m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:METSB Debt to Equity History June 26th 2022

A Look At Metsä Board Oyj's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Metsä Board Oyj had liabilities of €685.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €576.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €565.0m and €435.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €261.9m.

Of course, Metsä Board Oyj has a market capitalization of €2.80b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Metsä Board Oyj boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

While Metsä Board Oyj doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Metsä Board Oyj's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Metsä Board Oyj has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Metsä Board Oyj produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 60% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Metsä Board Oyj has €97.1m in net cash. So we are not troubled with Metsä Board Oyj's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Metsä Board Oyj has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Metsä Board Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.