Stock Analysis

We Think Kemira Oyj (HEL:KEMIRA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

HLSE:KEMIRA
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Kemira Oyj (HEL:KEMIRA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Kemira Oyj

What Is Kemira Oyj's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kemira Oyj had debt of €815.2m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from €953.7m over a year. However, it does have €299.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €515.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:KEMIRA Debt to Equity History September 7th 2023

A Look At Kemira Oyj's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kemira Oyj had liabilities of €932.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €842.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €299.5m and €516.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €959.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Kemira Oyj has a market capitalization of €2.20b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Kemira Oyj's net debt is only 0.85 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Kemira Oyj grew its EBIT by 115% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kemira Oyj's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Kemira Oyj produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Kemira Oyj's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Zooming out, Kemira Oyj seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Kemira Oyj is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kemira Oyj might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About HLSE:KEMIRA

Kemira Oyj

Operates as a chemicals company in Finland, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific.

Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.

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