Neste Oyj logo
NESTE logo

Neste OyjHLSE:NESTE Stock Report

Market Cap €7.0b
Share Price
n/a
1Y-67.5%
7D-12.1%
Portfolio Value
​
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Neste Oyj

HLSE:NESTE Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.0b

NESTE Stock Overview

Provides renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel in Finland, and other Nordic countries, Baltic Rim, other European countries, North and South America, and internationally. More details

NESTE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 89.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 52.65% per year

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the Finnish market


Community vs My Fair Value

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NESTE logo
Neste Oyj
IN
Investorman
Community Contributor

What is the fair value of Neste

After discussing the opportunities and challenges for Neste with my copilot, I have found out the following points: The industry outlook Oil products (49 % of Neste's revenue) Global oil demand is expected to plateau or decline slightly (-) Increased adaption of electric vehicles Improvements in energy efficiency Oil supply is expected to be good or superfluous (-) Oil prices will probably experience volatility (n) Road transport demand for oil will probably decline (-) Aviation and petrochemicals demand for oil will probably increase because the lack of alternatives (+) Renewable products (30 % of Neste's revenue) Renewable fuels The global production of renewable fuels, like biofuels and sustainable aviation fuels, is expected to expand significantly. (+) Governments worldwide are likely to implement regulations and incentives to promote the use of renewable fuels.
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€19.41
FV
53.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
15.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
3users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
11users have followed this narrative
3 months ago author updated this narrative
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Neste Oyj Competitors

Sunoco

NYSE:SUN

US$7.9b

Hindustan Petroleum

NSEI:HINDPETRO

₹705.8b

Idemitsu KosanLtd

TSE:5019

JP¥1.3t

Formosa Petrochemical

TWSE:6505

NT$363.9b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Neste Oyj
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price€8.97
52 Week High€28.26
52 Week Low€9.03
Beta1.03
1 Month Change-30.30%
3 Month Change-37.16%
1 Year Change-67.50%
3 Year Change-72.90%
5 Year Change-75.45%
Change since IPO66.32%

Recent News & Updates

Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

Feb 20
Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

Neste Oyj Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Feb 17
Neste Oyj Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Recent updates

Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

Feb 20
Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

Neste Oyj Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Feb 17
Neste Oyj Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Some Investors May Be Worried About Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Returns On Capital

Feb 10
Some Investors May Be Worried About Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Returns On Capital

Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) 25% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings

Nov 11
Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) 25% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings

Neste Oyj Just Missed EPS By 76%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Oct 27
Neste Oyj Just Missed EPS By 76%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

We Think Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Oct 10
We Think Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Here's What's Concerning About Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Returns On Capital

Aug 16
Here's What's Concerning About Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Returns On Capital

Earnings Miss: Neste Oyj Missed EPS And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Jul 29
Earnings Miss: Neste Oyj Missed EPS And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

There Is A Reason Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Price Is Undemanding

Jun 24
There Is A Reason Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Price Is Undemanding

These 4 Measures Indicate That Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Is Using Debt Extensively

Jun 06
These 4 Measures Indicate That Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Is Using Debt Extensively

Earnings Miss: Neste Oyj Missed EPS By 60% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Apr 28
Earnings Miss: Neste Oyj Missed EPS By 60% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Is Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Trading At A 50% Discount?

Apr 09
Is Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Trading At A 50% Discount?

Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

Feb 27
Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

Shareholder Returns

NESTEFI Oil and GasFI Market
7D-12.1%-1.3%3.3%
1Y-67.5%-0.7%4.6%

Return vs Industry: NESTE underperformed the Finnish Oil and Gas industry which returned -0.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NESTE underperformed the Finnish Market which returned 4.6% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NESTE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NESTE volatility
NESTE Average Weekly Movement6.2%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement5.9%
Market Average Movement4.6%
10% most volatile stocks in FI Market8.5%
10% least volatile stocks in FI Market2.8%

Stable Share Price: NESTE's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the Finnish market.

Volatility Over Time: NESTE's weekly volatility (6%) has been stable over the past year, but is still higher than 75% of Finnish stocks.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19485,481Heikki Malinenwww.neste.com

Neste Oyj provides renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel in Finland, and other Nordic countries, Baltic Rim, other European countries, North and South America, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Renewable Products, Oil Products, Marketing & Services, and Others. The Renewable Products segment produces, markets, and sells renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, renewable solvents, and feedstock for bioplastics to wholesale markets.

Neste Oyj Fundamentals Summary

How do Neste Oyj's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NESTE fundamental statistics
Market cap€7.00b
Earnings (TTM)-€95.00m
Revenue (TTM)€20.64b

0.3x

P/S Ratio

-72.5x

P/E Ratio

Is NESTE overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NESTE income statement (TTM)
Revenue€20.64b
Cost of Revenue€18.39b
Gross Profit€2.25b
Other Expenses€2.34b
Earnings-€95.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2024

Next Earnings Date

Feb 24, 2025

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.12
Gross Margin10.89%
Net Profit Margin-0.46%
Debt/Equity Ratio54.4%

How did NESTE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

2.2%

Current Dividend Yield

-162%

Payout Ratio

Does NESTE pay a reliable dividends?

See NESTE dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy NESTE by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Neste Oyj dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateMar 26 2025
Dividend Pay DateApr 03 2025
Days until Ex dividend33 days
Days until Dividend pay date41 days

Does NESTE pay a reliable dividends?

See NESTE dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/20 18:34
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/20 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Neste Oyj is covered by 46 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Olof GrenmarkABG Sundal Collier
Alejandro VigilBanco Santander
Naisheng CuiBarclays