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Updated 1m ago
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Neste OyjHLSE:NESTE Stock Report

Market Cap €26.7b
Updated 1m ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y117.8%
7D5.8%
1D1.5%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Neste Oyj

HLSE:NESTE Stock Report

Market Cap: €26.7b

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Neste Oyj (NESTE) Stock Overview

Provides renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel in Finland, other Nordic countries, Baltic Rim, other European countries, the United States, and internationally. More details

NESTE fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 45.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Became profitable this year

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 1.2% per year for the next 3 years


NESTE Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 109 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
5.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•15d ago

Renewable Fuel Mandates And Capacity Expansion Will Support A Stable Long Term Outlook

125
0
7
AN
AnalystHighTarget
13.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1d ago

Renewable Fuel Mandates And SAF Momentum Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

53
0
0
AN
AnalystLowTarget
61.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Slower Renewable Mandates And Costly Refinery Delays Will Pressure Long Term Outlook

72
0
0

Top Community Narratives

PI
PittTheYounger
Emerging Author
28.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
PittTheYounger
•29d ago

Long-overlooked renewable fuels champion starts to get attention it deserves

69
0
3
IN
79.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
Investorman
•1y ago

What is the fair value of Neste

709
4
19

Top Community Narratives

Top Analyst Narratives

PI
PittTheYounger
Emerging Author
28.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
PittTheYounger
•29d ago

Long-overlooked renewable fuels champion starts to get attention it deserves

69
0
3
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
5.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•15d ago

Renewable Fuel Mandates And Capacity Expansion Will Support A Stable Long Term Outlook

125
0
7
IN
79.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
Investorman
•1y ago

What is the fair value of Neste

709
4
19
AN
AnalystHighTarget
13.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•1d ago

Renewable Fuel Mandates And SAF Momentum Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

53
0
0
AN
AnalystLowTarget
61.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•1mo ago

Slower Renewable Mandates And Costly Refinery Delays Will Pressure Long Term Outlook

72
0
0
View all narratives

Neste Oyj Competitors

Formosa Petrochemical

Symbol: TWSE:6505
Market cap: NT$824.0b

ENEOS Holdings

Symbol: TSE:5020
Market cap: JP¥3.8t

HF Sinclair

Symbol: NYSE:DINO
Market cap: US$20.6b

Orlen

Symbol: WSE:PKN
Market cap: zł175.5b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Neste Oyj
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price€34.81
52 Week High€34.81
52 Week Low€15.43
Beta0.58
1 Month Change5.97%
3 Month Change30.03%
1 Year Change117.77%
3 Year Change-1.72%
5 Year Change-33.11%
Change since IPO545.43%

Recent News & Updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 18

NESTE: Tighter Refining Conditions And Renewables Expansion Will Support Stronger Medium Term Returns

The analyst fair value estimate for Neste Oyj has increased from €38.00 to €40.00, reflecting a series of recent price target revisions to €40 and above that analysts attribute to updated views on refining conditions and relative valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Neste Oyj points to a more constructive tone, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, turning more positive on the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

NESTE: Refining Tightness And Renewables Execution Will Shape Balanced Return Potential

Neste Oyj's analyst fair value has been adjusted from €32.07 to €33.13, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets as analysts point to tighter refining conditions, geopolitical disruptions, and the stock's recent underperformance versus peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Neste Oyj points to a mixed but gradually improving tone, with several firms revisiting their views on the stock and its valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

NESTE: Renewables Expansion And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Medium Term Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Neste Oyj from €26.00 to €38.00, citing a series of higher Street price targets alongside updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, more moderate revenue growth, stronger projected profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary on Neste Oyj Recent research on Neste Oyj points to a more constructive tone from several bullish analysts, even where official stock ratings remain cautious.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 21

Long-overlooked renewable fuels champion starts to get attention it deserves

As a former fossil fuels refinery operator, Neste knows how to crack crude to get the fuels the global economy needs. By adapting this expertise to renewable fuels from cooking oils, animal fat etc., the Fins got a headstart in delivering these energy inputs of the future.

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 18

NESTE: Tighter Refining Conditions And Renewables Expansion Will Support Stronger Medium Term Returns

The analyst fair value estimate for Neste Oyj has increased from €38.00 to €40.00, reflecting a series of recent price target revisions to €40 and above that analysts attribute to updated views on refining conditions and relative valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Neste Oyj points to a more constructive tone, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, turning more positive on the stock.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 04

NESTE: Refining Tightness And Renewables Execution Will Shape Balanced Return Potential

Neste Oyj's analyst fair value has been adjusted from €32.07 to €33.13, reflecting a series of higher Street price targets as analysts point to tighter refining conditions, geopolitical disruptions, and the stock's recent underperformance versus peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Neste Oyj points to a mixed but gradually improving tone, with several firms revisiting their views on the stock and its valuation.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 21

NESTE: Renewables Expansion And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Medium Term Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Neste Oyj from €26.00 to €38.00, citing a series of higher Street price targets alongside updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, more moderate revenue growth, stronger projected profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary on Neste Oyj Recent research on Neste Oyj points to a more constructive tone from several bullish analysts, even where official stock ratings remain cautious.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 21

Long-overlooked renewable fuels champion starts to get attention it deserves

As a former fossil fuels refinery operator, Neste knows how to crack crude to get the fuels the global economy needs. By adapting this expertise to renewable fuels from cooking oils, animal fat etc., the Fins got a headstart in delivering these energy inputs of the future.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 07

NESTE: Renewable Fuels Scale Up And Recycling Partnership Will Support Future Upside

Neste Oyj's updated analyst price target rises from about €29.50 to roughly €32.10. This reflects analysts' focus on slightly higher assumed profit margins and valuation multiples, even as they moderate revenue growth expectations and apply a marginally higher discount rate.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 24

NESTE: Mixed Ratings And Decarbonization Execution Risks Will Challenge Rich Share Price

The updated analyst price target for Neste Oyj increases the fair value estimate from €17.64 to €21.62, reflecting recent adjustments to Street targets in the €18.40 to €31 range and analyst expectations for a slightly higher future P/E and profit margin profile. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Neste Oyj shows a mixed tone, with several firms adjusting price targets into a relatively wide €18.40 to €31 range and keeping ratings clustered around Sell, Neutral, Equal Weight and Hold.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 10

NESTE: Renewable Fuels Expansion And Recycling Partnership Will Drive Balanced Future Outlook

Neste Oyj's updated analyst price target has shifted from about €20.85 to roughly €29.53. Analysts point to the company’s position in renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel, regulatory support for decarbonization, and ongoing capacity expansion as key drivers behind the change.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 26

NESTE: AI Efficiency Push And Mixed Ratings Will Test Rich Share Price

Neste Oyj's updated analyst price target rises to an implied fair value of €17.64 from €14.38. This reflects analyst models that now assume modestly higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple, following a series of recent target increases and rating changes across major banks.
Analysis Article • May 03

Results: Neste Oyj Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Neste Oyj ( HEL:NESTE ) defied analyst predictions to release its first-quarter results, which were ahead of market...
User avatar
New Narrative • Mar 07

Slower Renewable Mandates And Costly Refinery Delays Will Pressure Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Neste Oyj Neste Oyj produces renewable fuels and oil products for transport and aviation customers. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 21

Renewable Fuel Mandates And Capacity Expansion Will Support A Stable Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Neste Oyj Neste Oyj is an energy company focused on renewable fuels and oil products, including renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article • Feb 09

Earnings Miss: Neste Oyj Missed EPS By 37% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

The full-year results for Neste Oyj ( HEL:NESTE ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 07

Renewable Fuel Mandates And SAF Momentum Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Neste Oyj Neste Oyj produces renewable fuels and oil products, with a focus on renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel, supported by refining and marketing activities. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article • Jan 08

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE)

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article • Dec 03

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE)

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x Neste Oyj ( HEL:NESTE ) is a stock worth checking...
Analysis Article • Oct 28

A Look At The Fair Value Of Neste Oyj (HEL:NESTE)

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Neste Oyj fair value estimate is €20.34 With €18.40 share...
New Narrative • Nov 12

What is the fair value of Neste

Global oil demand is expected to plateau or decline slightly (-)Increased adaption of electric vehiclesImprovements in energy efficiency

Shareholder Returns

NESTEFI Oil and GasFI Market
7D5.8%0.03%-0.006%
1Y117.8%49.7%25.5%

Return vs Industry: NESTE exceeded the Finnish Oil and Gas industry which returned 49.7% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NESTE exceeded the Finnish Market which returned 25.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NESTE's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NESTE volatility
NESTE Average Weekly Movement5.3%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement5.3%
Market Average Movement4.5%
10% most volatile stocks in FI Market7.2%
10% least volatile stocks in FI Market2.5%

Stable Share Price: NESTE has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Finnish market.

Volatility Over Time: NESTE's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19485,178Heikki Malinenwww.neste.com

Neste Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel in Finland, other Nordic countries, Baltic Rim, other European countries, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Renewable Products, Oil Products, Marketing & Services segments. It produces, markets, and sells renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, and related solutions.

Neste Oyj Fundamentals Summary

How do Neste Oyj's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NESTE fundamental statistics
Market cap€26.74b
Earnings (TTM)€1.52b
Revenue (TTM)€20.64b
17.6x
P/E Ratio
1.3x
P/S Ratio

Is NESTE overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NESTE income statement (TTM)
Revenue€20.64b
Cost of Revenue€16.51b
Gross Profit€4.13b
Other Expenses€2.61b
Earnings€1.52b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

Oct 29, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)1.98
Gross Margin20.01%
Net Profit Margin7.36%
Debt/Equity Ratio44.1%

How did NESTE perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.6%
Current Dividend Yield
10%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/20 05:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/18 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Neste Oyj is covered by 38 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alejandro VigilBanco Santander
Naisheng CuiBarclays
"Naisheng CuiBarclays

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