Stock Analysis

Rapala VMC's (HEL:RAP1V) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year

HLSE:RAP1V
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Rapala VMC Corporation's (HEL:RAP1V) dividend is being reduced by 73% to €0.04 per share on 11th of April, in comparison to last year's comparable payment of €0.15. The dividend yield of 3.6% is still a nice boost to shareholder returns, despite the cut.

Check out our latest analysis for Rapala VMC

Rapala VMC's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Based on the last payment, Rapala VMC's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.

According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 6.8%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
HLSE:RAP1V Historic Dividend February 13th 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.23 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €0.15. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 4.2% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Rapala VMC has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 15% per annum. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.

In Summary

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for Rapala VMC you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning. Is Rapala VMC not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.