Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Harvia Oyj (HEL:HARVIA) With Shares Advancing 27%

HLSE:HARVIA
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Harvia Oyj (HEL:HARVIA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 57%.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Finland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Harvia Oyj as a stock to avoid entirely with its 27.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Harvia Oyj as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Harvia Oyj

pe-multiple-vs-industry
HLSE:HARVIA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Harvia Oyj will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Harvia Oyj?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Harvia Oyj would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 50% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 12% per annum during the coming three years according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's alarming that Harvia Oyj's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Harvia Oyj's P/E?

Harvia Oyj's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Harvia Oyj's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Harvia Oyj (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Harvia Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.