Stock Analysis

Is Saga Furs Oyj (HEL:SAGCV) A Risky Investment?

HLSE:SAGCV
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Saga Furs Oyj (HEL:SAGCV) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Saga Furs Oyj

What Is Saga Furs Oyj's Debt?

As you can see below, Saga Furs Oyj had €24.0m of debt, at April 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €1.70m, its net debt is less, at about €22.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:SAGCV Debt to Equity History July 13th 2022

How Healthy Is Saga Furs Oyj's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Saga Furs Oyj had liabilities of €52.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of €10.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.70m as well as receivables valued at €89.1m due within 12 months. So it actually has €27.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Saga Furs Oyj's balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Saga Furs Oyj's net debt is 3.0 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 1k is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. We note that Saga Furs Oyj grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Saga Furs Oyj will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Saga Furs Oyj actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Saga Furs Oyj's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. After looking at a variety of factors, it's pretty clear to us that Saga Furs Oyj has a very strong balance sheet. We're so relaxed with its use of debt that we should be poolside in Hawaii. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Saga Furs Oyj (including 2 which can't be ignored) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.