Metso Oyj Valuation

Is METSO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of METSO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: METSO (€10.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: METSO is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for METSO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

METSO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.4x
PEG Ratio2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does METSO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for METSO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
WRT1V Wärtsilä Oyj Abp
35.5x17.3%€10.2b
VALMT Valmet Oyj
12.6x7.6%€4.3b
CGCBV Cargotec
12.9x2.3%€4.8b
KCR Konecranes
13.9x8.4%€3.9b
METSO Metso Oyj
17x8.4%€8.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: METSO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does METSO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: METSO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is METSO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

METSO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: METSO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst METSO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.68
€11.84
+10.9%
12.6%€15.20€9.40n/a16
Apr ’25€11.01
€11.29
+2.6%
11.3%€13.00€8.90n/a15
Mar ’25€9.94
€11.20
+12.7%
10.6%€12.50€8.90n/a15
Feb ’25€9.44
€10.72
+13.6%
10.7%€12.50€8.40n/a15
Jan ’25€9.17
€10.78
+17.6%
10.3%€12.50€8.40n/a15
Dec ’24€9.16
€11.13
+21.4%
7.0%€12.50€10.00n/a15
Nov ’24€8.07
€11.19
+38.7%
7.9%€13.00€10.00n/a15
Oct ’24€9.95
€12.24
+23.0%
9.0%€14.25€10.00n/a16
Sep ’24€10.67
€12.35
+15.8%
8.6%€14.25€10.00n/a15
Aug ’24€10.31
€12.19
+18.3%
10.2%€14.25€9.10n/a16
Jul ’24€11.05
€12.37
+12.0%
11.6%€14.25€9.10n/a16
Jun ’24€10.20
€12.10
+18.6%
12.3%€14.00€9.10n/a16
May ’24€10.00
€11.34
+13.4%
11.5%€13.60€9.10€10.6816
Apr ’24€10.04
€11.22
+11.7%
11.5%€13.60€9.10€11.0116
Mar ’24€10.05
€11.19
+11.4%
11.7%€13.60€9.10€9.9416
Feb ’24€10.47
€10.83
+3.5%
10.2%€12.80€8.80€9.4415
Jan ’24€9.61
€10.09
+4.9%
7.6%€11.50€8.80€9.1714
Dec ’23€9.05
€9.85
+8.9%
9.1%€11.50€8.50€9.1614
Nov ’23€7.92
€9.78
+23.5%
8.2%€11.00€8.50€8.0714
Oct ’23€6.86
€10.16
+48.1%
6.6%€11.00€8.80€9.9514
Sep ’23€7.41
€9.97
+34.6%
10.2%€11.00€7.40€10.6715
Aug ’23€8.02
€9.99
+24.5%
10.3%€11.00€7.40€10.3115
Jul ’23€7.02
€10.54
+50.2%
9.5%€12.00€8.00€11.0515
Jun ’23€8.85
€10.52
+18.8%
9.6%€12.00€8.00€10.2015
May ’23€8.21
€10.49
+27.8%
9.4%€12.00€8.00€10.0016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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