Cargotec Valuation

Is CGCBV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CGCBV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CGCBV (€62.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€77.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CGCBV is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CGCBV?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CGCBV key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.7x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CGCBV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CGCBV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.7x
VALMT Valmet Oyj
12.9x7.3%€4.6b
KCR Konecranes
14.2x7.1%€3.9b
WRT1V Wärtsilä Oyj Abp
35.4x16.1%€9.1b
KNEBV KONE Oyj
24.2x6.7%€22.4b
CGCBV Cargotec
11.6x4.0%€4.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CGCBV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the peer average (21.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CGCBV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CGCBV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CGCBV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CGCBV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CGCBV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CGCBV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€62.75
€70.00
+11.6%
7.7%€77.00€62.00n/a5
Apr ’25€64.55
€68.80
+6.6%
7.1%€77.00€62.00n/a5
Mar ’25€62.50
€66.40
+6.2%
4.1%€70.00€62.00n/a5
Feb ’25€55.55
€63.20
+13.8%
5.4%€66.00€57.00n/a5
Jan ’25€52.70
€55.00
+4.4%
3.4%€57.00€52.00n/a5
Dec ’24€46.62
€53.40
+14.5%
5.1%€57.00€49.00n/a5
Nov ’24€37.28
€54.60
+46.5%
7.6%€61.00€49.00n/a5
Oct ’24€39.66
€57.80
+45.7%
4.4%€61.00€54.00n/a5
Sep ’24€43.28
€58.25
+34.6%
4.6%€61.00€54.00n/a4
Aug ’24€43.12
€58.25
+35.1%
4.6%€61.00€54.00n/a4
Jul ’24€50.35
€65.75
+30.6%
13.1%€80.00€58.00n/a4
Jun ’24€50.40
€62.20
+23.4%
16.8%€80.00€48.00n/a5
May ’24€50.05
€55.20
+10.3%
17.4%€65.00€37.00n/a5
Apr ’24€44.78
€50.67
+13.1%
13.8%€57.00€37.00€64.556
Mar ’24€49.02
€50.67
+3.4%
13.8%€57.00€37.00€62.506
Feb ’24€47.06
€47.67
+1.3%
15.2%€57.00€37.00€55.556
Jan ’24€41.32
€43.17
+4.5%
9.4%€48.00€37.00€52.706
Dec ’23€40.22
€43.17
+7.3%
9.4%€48.00€37.00€46.626
Nov ’23€38.54
€42.00
+9.0%
14.6%€48.00€30.00€37.286
Oct ’23€31.10
€39.67
+27.5%
16.1%€51.00€30.00€39.666
Sep ’23€32.50
€38.67
+19.0%
16.6%€51.00€30.00€43.286
Aug ’23€34.18
€37.83
+10.7%
16.9%€51.00€30.00€43.126
Jul ’23€26.56
€43.00
+61.9%
18.8%€53.00€31.00€50.356
Jun ’23€34.26
€45.17
+31.8%
13.5%€53.00€37.00€50.406
May ’23€33.18
€44.50
+34.1%
14.1%€53.00€35.00€50.056
Apr ’23€34.48
€54.19
+57.2%
17.7%€75.80€44.00€44.787

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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