Stock Analysis

We Think KONE Oyj (HEL:KNEBV) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

HLSE:KNEBV
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that KONE Oyj (HEL:KNEBV) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for KONE Oyj

What Is KONE Oyj's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that KONE Oyj had €209.9m in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €1.97b in cash, so it actually has €1.76b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:KNEBV Debt to Equity History February 2nd 2023

How Healthy Is KONE Oyj's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, KONE Oyj had liabilities of €5.40b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €820.1m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.97b and €2.79b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €1.47b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, KONE Oyj has a titanic market capitalization of €25.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, KONE Oyj also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

It is just as well that KONE Oyj's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 21% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if KONE Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While KONE Oyj has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, KONE Oyj generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about KONE Oyj's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €1.76b. The cherry on top was that in converted 91% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €322m. So we don't have any problem with KONE Oyj's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - KONE Oyj has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KONE Oyj might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.