Stock Analysis

Returns At KONE Oyj (HEL:KNEBV) Appear To Be Weighed Down

HLSE:KNEBV
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Looking at KONE Oyj (HEL:KNEBV), it does have a high ROCE right now, but lets see how returns are trending.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on KONE Oyj is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.39 = €1.1b ÷ (€8.4b - €5.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, KONE Oyj has an ROCE of 39%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Machinery industry average of 11%.

See our latest analysis for KONE Oyj

roce
HLSE:KNEBV Return on Capital Employed June 25th 2023

In the above chart we have measured KONE Oyj's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for KONE Oyj

Strength
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Machinery market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Finnish market.
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by earnings and cashflows.
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Does the ROCE Trend For KONE Oyj Tell Us?

Over the past five years, KONE Oyj's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. Although current returns are high, we'd need more evidence of underlying growth for it to look like a multi-bagger going forward. That probably explains why KONE Oyj has been paying out 83% of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. Most shareholders probably know this and own the stock for its dividend.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that KONE Oyj has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 65%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

The Bottom Line On KONE Oyj's ROCE

In summary, KONE Oyj isn't compounding its earnings but is generating decent returns on the same amount of capital employed. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 30% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.

Like most companies, KONE Oyj does come with some risks, and we've found 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.

KONE Oyj is not the only stock earning high returns. If you'd like to see more, check out our free list of companies earning high returns on equity with solid fundamentals.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if KONE Oyj might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.