Stock Analysis

Here's Why Nokian Renkaat Oyj (HEL:TYRES) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

HLSE:TYRES
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Nokian Renkaat Oyj (HEL:TYRES) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nokian Renkaat Oyj

What Is Nokian Renkaat Oyj's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Nokian Renkaat Oyj had debt of €403.9m, up from €148.0m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €357.1m, its net debt is less, at about €46.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:TYRES Debt to Equity History April 27th 2023

How Strong Is Nokian Renkaat Oyj's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nokian Renkaat Oyj had liabilities of €461.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €206.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €357.1m and €276.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €34.3m.

Since publicly traded Nokian Renkaat Oyj shares are worth a total of €1.28b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Nokian Renkaat Oyj has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.17. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It is just as well that Nokian Renkaat Oyj's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 52% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nokian Renkaat Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Nokian Renkaat Oyj recorded free cash flow worth 76% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Nokian Renkaat Oyj's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Nokian Renkaat Oyj can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Nokian Renkaat Oyj (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.