Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Metrovacesa S.A. (BME:MVC) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Metrovacesa
What Is Metrovacesa's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Metrovacesa had €433.3m of debt, an increase on €148.5m, over one year. However, it also had €334.0m in cash, and so its net debt is €99.2m.
How Strong Is Metrovacesa's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Metrovacesa had liabilities of €484.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €262.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €334.0m as well as receivables valued at €20.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €392.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Metrovacesa has a market capitalization of €1.18b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Metrovacesa's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
It seems likely shareholders hope that Metrovacesa can significantly advance the business plan before too long, because it doesn't have any significant revenue at the moment.
Caveat Emptor
While Metrovacesa's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable €132m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled €79m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Metrovacesa you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About BME:MVC
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.