Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought MERLIN Properties SOCIMI's (BME:MRL) Shares A Year Ago You Would Be Down 38%

BME:MRL
Source: Shutterstock

MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A. (BME:MRL) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last quarter. But in truth the last year hasn't been good for the share price. The cold reality is that the stock has dropped 38% in one year, under-performing the market.

View our latest analysis for MERLIN Properties SOCIMI

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Unfortunately MERLIN Properties SOCIMI reported an EPS drop of 43% for the last year. This proportional reduction in earnings per share isn't far from the 38% decrease in the share price. So it seems that the market sentiment has not changed much, despite the weak results. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
BME:MRL Earnings Per Share Growth January 11th 2021

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 6.6% in the twelve months, MERLIN Properties SOCIMI shareholders did even worse, losing 37% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 2% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for MERLIN Properties SOCIMI (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on ES exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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