Stock Analysis

Should Weakness in Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación, S.A.'s (BME:A3M) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Published
BME:A3M

It is hard to get excited after looking at Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación's (BME:A3M) recent performance, when its stock has declined 7.7% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación is:

16% = €115m ÷ €696m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.16 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación's Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

To start with, Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 11%. Despite this, Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación's five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

BME:A3M Past Earnings Growth October 26th 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is A3M fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación has a high three-year median payout ratio of 80% (or a retention ratio of 20%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Moreover, Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 80%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 14%.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Atresmedia Corporación de Medios de Comunicación has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE. Bear in mind, the company reinvests a small portion of its profits, which means that investors aren't reaping the benefits of the high rate of return. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink slightly in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.