What Is NH Hotel Group, S.A.'s (BME:NHH) Share Price Doing?

NH Hotel Group, S.A. (BME:NHH), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the BME over the last few months. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on NH Hotel Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for NH Hotel Group

What's The Opportunity In NH Hotel Group?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 1.69% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy NH Hotel Group today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €4.39, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that NH Hotel Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of NH Hotel Group look like?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of NH Hotel Group, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 3.3%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? NHH’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on NHH, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing NH Hotel Group at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for NH Hotel Group you should be mindful of and 2 of these are significant.

If you are no longer interested in NH Hotel Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.