AmRest Holdings Valuation

Is EAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EAT (€4.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EAT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EAT?

Key metric: As EAT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for EAT. This is calculated by dividing EAT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is EAT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
Sales€2.52b
Market Cap€1.04b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does EAT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for EAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
EDR eDreams ODIGEO
1.2x9.9%€794.5m
MEL Meliá Hotels International
0.8x3.1%€1.5b
NHH Minor Hotels Europe & Americas
0.8x3.4%€1.9b
PRO Proeduca Altus
4.4xn/a€1.4b
EAT AmRest Holdings
0.4x5.3%€4.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: EAT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does EAT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EAT 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies26PS00.81.62.43.24+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: EAT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EAT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EAT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: EAT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.80
€5.72
+19.2%
14.1%€6.81€4.63n/a5
Nov ’25€4.82
€5.69
+18.0%
14.1%€6.76€4.60n/a5
Oct ’25€5.33
€5.80
+8.8%
14.5%€6.87€4.67n/a5
Sep ’25€5.44
€5.81
+6.7%
14.5%€6.87€4.68n/a5
Aug ’25€5.54
€5.86
+5.7%
14.7%€6.82€4.64n/a5
Jul ’25€5.77
€6.07
+5.2%
18.0%€7.71€4.68n/a5
Jun ’25€6.00
€6.07
+1.1%
18.0%€7.71€4.68n/a5
May ’25€6.02
€6.14
+2.1%
15.2%€7.18€4.63n/a4
Apr ’25€5.76
€6.65
+15.4%
5.9%€7.18€6.25n/a3
Mar ’25€5.74
€6.65
+15.8%
5.9%€7.18€6.25n/a3
Feb ’25€6.20
€6.56
+5.8%
5.9%€7.09€6.17n/a3
Jan ’25€6.17
€6.56
+6.3%
5.9%€7.09€6.17n/a3
Dec ’24€5.83
€6.56
+12.5%
5.9%€7.09€6.17n/a3
Nov ’24€5.90
€7.06
+19.7%
17.9%€8.85€6.05€4.823
Oct ’24€5.34
€6.36
+19.2%
19.8%€8.48€5.15€5.334
Sep ’24€6.37
€6.12
-4.0%
8.2%€6.76€5.37€5.444
Aug ’24€6.37
€6.14
-3.7%
8.2%€6.78€5.39€5.544
Jul ’24€5.09
€7.18
+41.0%
42.3%€13.00€4.29€5.775
Jun ’24€5.04
€5.58
+10.8%
16.9%€6.66€4.19€6.004
May ’24€4.09
€5.00
+22.4%
13.9%€6.00€4.05€6.024
Apr ’24€4.00
€5.51
+37.7%
9.5%€6.03€4.86€5.764
Mar ’24€4.26
€5.87
+37.8%
14.8%€6.90€4.78€5.743
Feb ’24€4.34
€5.93
+36.7%
14.8%€6.97€4.82€6.203
Jan ’24€4.16
€5.65
+35.9%
16.0%€6.98€4.80€6.174
Dec ’23€4.23
€5.65
+33.8%
16.0%€6.98€4.80€5.834
Nov ’23€3.87
€5.58
+44.1%
16.0%€6.99€4.48€5.905

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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