Stock Analysis

We Think Amadeus IT Group (BME:AMS) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

BME:AMS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Amadeus IT Group, S.A. (BME:AMS) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Amadeus IT Group

What Is Amadeus IT Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Amadeus IT Group had €4.20b of debt in December 2022, down from €4.74b, one year before. However, it also had €1.99b in cash, and so its net debt is €2.20b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BME:AMS Debt to Equity History March 24th 2023

How Strong Is Amadeus IT Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Amadeus IT Group had liabilities of €2.97b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €4.16b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €1.99b as well as receivables valued at €747.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €4.39b.

Of course, Amadeus IT Group has a titanic market capitalization of €26.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Amadeus IT Group's net debt is only 1.4 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Although Amadeus IT Group made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated €947m in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Amadeus IT Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Amadeus IT Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 92% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Amadeus IT Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Amadeus IT Group takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Amadeus IT Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.