Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. (BME:PSG)?

BME:PSG
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Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A. (BME:PSG), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BME over the last few months, increasing to €2.18 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €1.74. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad's current trading price of €1.78 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out our latest analysis for Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad

What Is Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad Worth?

According to my valuation model, Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad seems to be fairly priced at around 3.21% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €1.73, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BME:PSG Earnings and Revenue Growth April 22nd 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? PSG’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PSG, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad has 2 warning signs (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.