Banco de Sabadell, S.A.

BME:SAB Stock Report

Market Cap: €15.2b

Banco de Sabadell Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Banco de Sabadell is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11% and 7.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.9% in 3 years.

Key information

11.0%

Earnings growth rate

12.98%

EPS growth rate

Banks earnings growth10.9%
Revenue growth rate7.7%
Future return on equity12.92%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated03 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 17

SAB: Lowered Price Assumptions Will Expose Execution And Earnings Quality Risks

Banco de Sabadell sees a slightly lower analyst price target, with recent revisions clustering in the €2.85 to €3.45 range. Analysts are factoring in updated discount rate assumptions, modestly adjusted revenue growth expectations, and small changes in forecast profit margins and future P/E levels.
Narrative Update Jun 03

SAB: Lower Price Assumptions Will Expose Fragile Earnings And Margin Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell lower from €2.66 to €2.48, aligning with a recent series of reduced price targets around €2.85 to €3.45 and more cautious ratings across several research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a more cautious tone around Banco de Sabadell, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and, in some cases, downgrading their views on the stock.
Narrative Update May 01

SAB: Strong Asset Quality And Capital Generation Will Support Future Repricing

The updated analyst price target narrative for Banco de Sabadell reflects a small fair value adjustment from €4.32 to €4.31. Analysts attribute this to revised discount rate assumptions and slightly higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations informed by recent rating changes and target moves from major research houses.
Narrative Update Apr 17

SAB: CEO Transition Will Expose Fragile Earnings And Margin Sustainability Risks

Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to the fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell. The refined price target now reflects a slightly lower discount rate and modestly higher profit margin assumptions, in the wake of mixed recent research that includes both target increases up to €3.80 and trims to around €3.10.
Narrative Update Apr 03

SAB: Asset Quality And Capital Strength Will Drive Future Share Performance

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell slightly to €3.46 from €3.48, reflecting a mix of recent price target cuts and downgrades, alongside supportive views on asset quality and capital generation. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to "strong" asset quality as a key support for the current fair value, suggesting the balance sheet is viewed as resilient by parts of the market.
Narrative Update Mar 20

SAB: Strong Asset Quality And Capital Generation Will Support Further Upside

The analyst price target for Banco de Sabadell has been revised to €4.32 from €4.00. Analysts point to strong asset quality, healthy capital generation and mixed recent rating changes across banks as key drivers of this update.
Narrative Update Mar 06

SAB: CEO Change Will Expose Overvaluation And Heighten Earnings Execution Risks

The analyst price target for Banco de Sabadell has edged higher, with recent moves such as Deutsche Bank's lift to €3.80 and other mixed target revisions reflecting analysts' focus on asset quality, capital generation, and updated assumptions around growth, margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a mix of optimism and caution around Banco de Sabadell, with differing views on how sustainable current assumptions on asset quality, capital generation, and earnings visibility may be.
Narrative Update Feb 20

SAB: CEO Transition Will Intensify Concerns Over Rising Execution Risks

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell slightly lower from about €2.64 to €2.62, reflecting a blend of recent Street price target moves, including Citi's trim to €3.10 and earlier target increases from both Citi and RBC, along with updated assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research has shown a mixed but increasingly cautious tone around Banco de Sabadell, with some Bearish analysts trimming price targets and reassessing execution risks.
Narrative Update Feb 06

SAB: Dividend Yield And Fair Value Views Will Guide Share Performance

Our updated fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell edges higher to €3.48 from €3.44. This reflects analysts' slightly higher price targets around €3.25 to €3.30 and the rationale that current trading levels are broadly in line with fair value, supported by modest tweaks to the discount rate, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Jan 22

SAB: Higher P E Expectations Will Struggle Against Rising Execution Risks

Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell up from €2.48 to about €2.64, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue trends, margins and future P/E multiples in the wake of recent price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research around Banco de Sabadell has tilted more cautious recently, with several Bearish analysts adjusting ratings and targets in a way that signals growing focus on execution risk and upside limits at current levels.
Narrative Update Jan 07

SAB: Dividend Support Will Struggle To Offset Rising Execution Concerns

The analyst price target for Banco de Sabadell edges higher, with fair value moving from €2.38 to €2.48 as analysts factor in updated discount rates, revised expectations for revenue contraction and margins, and a price-to-earnings ratio closer to recent target moves around €2.80 to €3.50. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more balanced, and in some cases cautious, stance on Banco de Sabadell, even as headline price targets cluster between about €2.80 and €3.50.
Narrative Update Dec 15

SAB: Dividend Yield And Post Takeover Fair Value Will Shape Share Performance

Banco de Sabadell's analyst price target has edged higher to approximately EUR 3.44, up from around EUR 3.43 previously. Analysts point to slightly improved profit margin expectations and a still-supportive valuation backdrop, despite a cluster of neutral and sector-perform ratings around the EUR 3.00 to EUR 3.50 range.
Narrative Update Nov 30

SAB: Dividend Yield And Takeover Uncertainty Will Influence Share Price Ahead

Banco de Sabadell's analyst price target has been modestly raised to €3.43 from €3.41, as analysts note improved profit margin expectations and a more favorable revenue outlook, both of which support the updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Market opinion on Banco de Sabadell remains mixed, with analysts highlighting both strengths and several areas of concern regarding the bank’s near-term prospects and valuation.
Narrative Update Nov 16

SAB: Dividend Yield And Recent Deal Outcome Will Shape Share Performance

Banco de Sabadell's analyst price target has been raised from €3.34 to €3.41. Analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts and valuation adjustments as key drivers of the updated outlook.
Narrative Update Oct 31

SAB: Dividend Yield And Takeover Dynamics Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell from €3.33 to €3.34. This change reflects modest updates to profitability projections and consideration of revised price targets in recent research reports.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Focused Spanish Lending And Digital Progress Will Drive Future Resilience

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Banco de Sabadell from €3.27 to €3.33. They cite improved fundamentals and expectations of a higher takeover offer for BBVA as key factors behind the upward revision.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Focused Spanish Lending And Digital Progress Will Drive Future Resilience

Banco de Sabadell’s analyst price target has been raised from €3.19 to €3.27, as analysts cite incremental adjustments in fair value estimates along with ongoing strategic considerations surrounding its takeover negotiations and recent market performance. Analyst Commentary Recent street research on Banco de Sabadell has led to a more nuanced view among financial analysts, with divergent opinions emerging on the bank's valuation prospects and execution risks as takeover discussions continue.
Narrative Update Aug 27

Focused Spanish Lending And Digital Progress Will Drive Future Resilience

Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth forecasts and a rise in the future P/E ratio, the consensus analyst price target for Banco de Sabadell has increased slightly from €3.11 to €3.19. What's in the News BBVA’s hostile takeover bid for Banco de Sabadell remains active after Spanish regulatory approval, but is subject to conditions requiring both banks to operate separately for at least three years.
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New Narrative Nov 19

Tactical Hedge Contributions And Asset Quality Propel A Bright Future For Banking Growth

Effective management of interest rate sensitivities and cost reductions could enhance net margins and profitability.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BME:SAB - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20285,5911,692N/AN/A14
12/31/20275,3681,607N/AN/A14
12/31/20265,2361,647N/AN/A14
3/31/20264,2861,105N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20254,4111,2471,0671,678N/A
9/30/20255,8891,824N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20254,3611,556-2,124-1,592N/A
3/31/20254,3161,553N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20244,3911,372-11,616-11,064N/A
9/30/20245,2161,427N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20245,1491,388-894-353N/A
3/31/20245,1551,320N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20234,9851,217-11,056-10,523N/A
9/30/20235,0061,218N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20234,7651,071-14,969-14,482N/A
3/31/20234,357844N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20224,343779-7,061-6,628N/A
9/30/20224,145781N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20224,279613-1,924-1,489N/A
3/31/20224,239557N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20214,06443011,83712,339N/A
9/30/20214,16176N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20213,797-1616,36616,983N/A
3/31/20213,623-100N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20203,660-7119,77220,421N/A
9/30/20203,4803N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20203,7361977,0917,881N/A
3/31/20204,014526N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20194,253695N/A-10,395N/A
9/30/20194,465812N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20194,534688N/A-781N/A
3/31/20194,131276N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20184,225277N/A-3,527N/A
9/30/20184,242372N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20184,341448N/A3,974N/A
3/31/20184,850774N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20174,804778N/A12,723N/A
9/30/20174,908717N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20174,673736N/A4,810N/A
3/31/20174,572675N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20164,646710N/A4,149N/A
9/30/20164,346776N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20164,320781N/A-2,175N/A
3/31/20163,840786N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20153,712708N/A1,609N/A
9/30/20153,474588N/AN/AN/A
6/30/20152,997497N/A5,438N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SAB's forecast earnings growth (11% per year) is above the savings rate (2.7%).

Earnings vs Market: SAB's earnings (11% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Spanish market (11.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SAB's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SAB's revenue (7.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Spanish market (6.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SAB's revenue (7.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SAB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.9%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/29 17:19
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/26 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Banco de Sabadell, S.A. is covered by 35 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jesús Gómez DominguezBanco Santander
Thomas Andrew RaynerBarclays
Cecilia Romero ReyesBarclays