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Update shared on03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 2.54%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
€3.27
0.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
03 Oct
€3.28
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1Y
76.0%
7D
-0.8%

Banco de Sabadell’s analyst price target has been raised from €3.19 to €3.27, as analysts cite incremental adjustments in fair value estimates along with ongoing strategic considerations surrounding its takeover negotiations and recent market performance.

Analyst Commentary

Recent street research on Banco de Sabadell has led to a more nuanced view among financial analysts, with divergent opinions emerging on the bank's valuation prospects and execution risks as takeover discussions continue.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts have adjusted their price targets upward, reflecting increased confidence in Sabadell's fair value as its strategic outlook evolves.
  • Ongoing upgrades to share price targets reflect the market's recognition of improved execution and prospects for growth under current business conditions.
  • Some analysts maintain optimistic ratings on Sabadell stock, citing expectations for positive momentum if takeover negotiations unlock shareholder value.
  • The steady progression in target prices shows the belief that Sabadell can weather competitive challenges and capitalize on sector opportunities.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts remain cautious about whether the current takeover bid adequately compensates shareholders given the bank’s intrinsic value.
  • The necessity for a higher takeover price to finalize the deal raises uncertainty over management’s ability to negotiate favorable terms.
  • Some observers express reservations regarding Sabadell’s market performance relative to peers, which could pose risks to future valuation gains.
  • There are ongoing concerns about execution challenges impacting overall growth, especially in the context of merger-related complexities.

What's in the News

  • Banco de Sabadell completed the repurchase of 264,551,530 shares, representing 4.94% of its share capital, for a total of €714.62 million under its buyback program announced in May 2025 (Key Developments).
  • The company provided financial guidance for the full year of 2025, expecting net income to reach €3.6 billion and projecting mid-single-digit growth in fee income (Key Developments).
  • Banco de Sabadell held its Analyst/Investor Day, providing updates and insights to investors and market participants (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from €3.19 to €3.27. This reflects a modest improvement in the bank’s perceived intrinsic worth.
  • Discount Rate increased marginally, moving from 9.43% to 9.52%. This indicates a slight shift in analyst risk assessment.
  • Revenue Growth projections have improved modestly. Estimates are moving from -3.67% to -3.61% year-over-year, suggesting a less negative outlook.
  • Net Profit Margin has edged down from 29.87% to 29.69%. This represents a minor decrease in expected profitability going forward.
  • Future Price/Earnings Ratio is projected to rise from 13.19x to 13.61x. This points to a small increase in anticipated valuation multiples.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.