Egypt Aluminum

CASE:EGAL Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م62.9b

Egypt Aluminum Valuation

Is EGAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EGAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ج.م129.02
Fair Value
18.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: EGAL (EGP152.58) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP129.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EGAL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EGAL?

Key metric: As EGAL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EGAL. This is calculated by dividing EGAL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EGAL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
Earningsج.م11.93b
Market Capج.م62.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EGAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EGAL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26x
ESRS Ezz Steel Company (S.A.E)
33.8x30.8%ج.م70.7b
IRON Egyptian Iron and Steel
25.8xn/aج.م48.3b
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.)
6.4x9.8%ج.م69.6b
ALUM Arab Aluminum Company (S.A.E)
37.9xn/aج.م584.1m
EGAL Egypt Aluminum
5.3x6.1%ج.م62.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EGAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (26x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EGAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EGAL 5.3xIndustry Avg. 11.4xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EGAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the African Metals and Mining industry average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EGAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EGAL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio8.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EGAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EGAL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م152.58
ج.م203.00
+33.0%
23.6%ج.م251.00ج.م155.00n/a2
Jan ’26ج.م115.46
ج.م203.00
+75.8%
23.6%ج.م251.00ج.م155.00n/a2
Dec ’25ج.م112.00
ج.م191.61
+71.1%
34.7%ج.م258.00ج.م125.21n/a2
Nov ’25ج.م111.10
ج.م191.61
+72.5%
34.7%ج.م258.00ج.م125.21n/a2
Oct ’25ج.م119.20
ج.م133.11
+11.7%
5.9%ج.م141.00ج.م125.21n/a2
Sep ’25ج.م109.32
ج.م133.11
+21.8%
5.9%ج.م141.00ج.م125.21n/a2
Aug ’25ج.م110.45
ج.م133.11
+20.5%
5.9%ج.م141.00ج.م125.21n/a2
Jul ’25ج.م97.51
ج.م133.11
+36.5%
5.9%ج.م141.00ج.م125.21n/a2
Jun ’25ج.م92.81
ج.م110.88
+19.5%
29.9%ج.م144.00ج.م77.75n/a2
May ’25ج.م88.61
ج.م96.25
+8.6%
48.2%ج.م160.00ج.م51.00n/a3
Apr ’25ج.م94.11
ج.م96.25
+2.3%
48.2%ج.م160.00ج.م51.00n/a3
Mar ’25ج.م107.99
ج.م96.25
-10.9%
48.2%ج.م160.00ج.م51.00n/a3
Feb ’25ج.م114.50
ج.م63.29
-44.7%
26.5%ج.م81.70ج.م42.70ج.م152.904
Jan ’25ج.م64.86
ج.م63.29
-2.4%
26.5%ج.م81.70ج.م42.70ج.م115.464
Dec ’24ج.م67.27
ج.م63.29
-5.9%
26.5%ج.م81.70ج.م42.70ج.م112.004
Nov ’24ج.م65.82
ج.م53.85
-18.2%
17.0%ج.م68.10ج.م42.70ج.م111.104
Oct ’24ج.م46.11
ج.م51.32
+11.3%
10.8%ج.م57.90ج.م42.70ج.م119.204
Sep ’24ج.م46.00
ج.م55.74
+21.2%
3.9%ج.م57.90ج.م53.58ج.م109.322
Aug ’24ج.م43.40
ج.م58.59
+35.0%
8.6%ج.م63.60ج.م53.58ج.م110.452
Jul ’24ج.م42.77
ج.م58.59
+37.0%
8.6%ج.م63.60ج.م53.58ج.م97.512
Jun ’24ج.م43.50
ج.م51.57
+18.5%
23.3%ج.م63.60ج.م39.53ج.م92.812
May ’24ج.م42.87
ج.م32.62
-23.9%
21.2%ج.م39.53ج.م25.70ج.م88.612
Apr ’24ج.م36.20
ج.م32.62
-9.9%
21.2%ج.م39.53ج.م25.70ج.م94.112
Mar ’24ج.م34.40
ج.م32.62
-5.2%
21.2%ج.م39.53ج.م25.70ج.م107.992
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
ج.م203.00
Fair Value
24.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/06 16:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Egypt Aluminum is covered by 6 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kais KriaaAlphaMena
Fadwa AouiniAlphaMena
Ali AfifiBeltone Financial