Egypt Aluminum Valuation
Is EGAL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of EGAL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: EGAL (EGP93) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP41.17)
Significantly Below Fair Value: EGAL is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EGAL?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is EGAL's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ج.م38.36b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.4x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 4.2x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.9x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does EGAL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 41.7x | ||
IRON Egyptian Iron and Steel | 8.5x | n/a | ج.م15.8b |
IRAX Al Ezz Dekheila Steel Company - AlexandriaE | 8.6x | n/a | ج.م24.4b |
ALUM Arab Aluminum Company (S.A.E) | 141.2x | n/a | ج.م517.2m |
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.) | 8.4x | 12.4% | ج.م81.5b |
EGAL Egypt Aluminum | 7.1x | 3.8% | ج.م38.4b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EGAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (41.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does EGAL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Metals and Mining Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EGAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the African Metals and Mining industry average (8.5x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is EGAL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 7.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 9.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EGAL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ج.م84.00 | ج.م96.25 +14.6% | 48.2% | ج.م160.00 | ج.م51.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | ج.م94.11 | ج.م96.25 +2.3% | 48.2% | ج.م160.00 | ج.م51.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | ج.م107.99 | ج.م96.25 -10.9% | 48.2% | ج.م160.00 | ج.م51.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | ج.م114.50 | ج.م63.29 -44.7% | 26.5% | ج.م81.70 | ج.م42.70 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | ج.م64.86 | ج.م63.29 -2.4% | 26.5% | ج.م81.70 | ج.م42.70 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | ج.م67.27 | ج.م63.29 -5.9% | 26.5% | ج.م81.70 | ج.م42.70 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | ج.م65.82 | ج.م53.85 -18.2% | 17.0% | ج.م68.10 | ج.م42.70 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | ج.م46.11 | ج.م51.32 +11.3% | 10.8% | ج.م57.90 | ج.م42.70 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | ج.م46.00 | ج.م55.74 +21.2% | 3.9% | ج.م57.90 | ج.م53.58 | n/a | 2 |
| Aug ’24 | ج.م43.40 | ج.م58.59 +35.0% | 8.6% | ج.م63.60 | ج.م53.58 | n/a | 2 |
| Jul ’24 | ج.م42.77 | ج.م58.59 +37.0% | 8.6% | ج.م63.60 | ج.م53.58 | n/a | 2 |
| Jun ’24 | ج.م43.50 | ج.م51.57 +18.5% | 23.3% | ج.م63.60 | ج.م39.53 | n/a | 2 |
| May ’24 | ج.م42.87 | ج.م32.62 -23.9% | 21.2% | ج.م39.53 | ج.م25.70 | n/a | 2 |
| Apr ’24 | ج.م36.20 | ج.م32.62 -9.9% | 21.2% | ج.م39.53 | ج.م25.70 | ج.م94.11 | 2 |
| Mar ’24 | ج.م34.40 | ج.م32.62 -5.2% | 21.2% | ج.م39.53 | ج.م25.70 | ج.م107.99 | 2 |
| Dec ’23 | ج.م29.07 | ج.م24.95 -14.2% | 3.0% | ج.م25.70 | ج.م24.20 | ج.م67.27 | 2 |
| Nov ’23 | ج.م25.52 | ج.م24.95 -2.2% | 3.0% | ج.م25.70 | ج.م24.20 | ج.م65.82 | 2 |
| Oct ’23 | ج.م19.10 | ج.م28.90 +51.3% | 16.3% | ج.م33.60 | ج.م24.20 | ج.م46.11 | 2 |
| Sep ’23 | ج.م17.04 | ج.م28.90 +69.6% | 16.3% | ج.م33.60 | ج.م24.20 | ج.م46.00 | 2 |
| Aug ’23 | ج.م15.76 | ج.م28.90 +83.4% | 16.3% | ج.م33.60 | ج.م24.20 | ج.م43.40 | 2 |
| Jul ’23 | ج.م16.53 | ج.م28.90 +74.8% | 16.3% | ج.م33.60 | ج.م24.20 | ج.م42.77 | 2 |
| Jun ’23 | ج.م17.31 | ج.م28.90 +67.0% | 16.3% | ج.م33.60 | ج.م24.20 | ج.م43.50 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.