Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries Co. (S.A.E.)

CASE:ABUK Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م60.7b

Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.) Valuation

Is ABUK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABUK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ج.م37.31
Fair Value
29.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ABUK (EGP48.12) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP37.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABUK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABUK?

Key metric: As ABUK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABUK. This is calculated by dividing ABUK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABUK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.5x
Earningsج.م10.94b
Market Capج.م60.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABUK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABUK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
MFPC Misr Fertilizer Production
6.3x-2.8%ج.م78.0b
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE
8.8x10.6%ج.م12.1b
KZPC Kafr El Zayat For Pesticides & Chemicals(S.A.E)
7.7xn/aج.م2.2b
SMFR Samad Misr EGYFERT.S.A.E
9.1xn/aج.م912.6m
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.)
5.5x9.8%ج.م60.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the peer average (8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABUK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ABUK 5.5xIndustry Avg. 8.7xNo. of Companies6PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (8.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABUK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABUK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.5x
Fair PE Ratio8.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABUK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م48.12
ج.م76.47
+58.9%
12.3%ج.م95.00ج.م64.00n/a6
Jan ’26ج.م48.91
ج.م76.47
+56.3%
12.3%ج.م95.00ج.م64.00n/a6
Dec ’25ج.م53.95
ج.م77.36
+43.4%
13.1%ج.م95.00ج.م64.00n/a5
Nov ’25ج.م57.00
ج.م78.63
+38.0%
12.3%ج.م95.00ج.م64.00n/a6
Oct ’25ج.م63.29
ج.م78.93
+24.7%
12.4%ج.م95.00ج.م63.00n/a6
Sep ’25ج.م60.90
ج.م78.93
+29.6%
12.4%ج.م95.00ج.م63.00n/a6
Aug ’25ج.م60.51
ج.م78.93
+30.4%
12.4%ج.م95.00ج.م63.00n/a6
Jul ’25ج.م59.12
ج.م75.72
+28.1%
9.6%ج.م85.00ج.م63.00n/a5
Jun ’25ج.م62.00
ج.م75.72
+22.1%
9.6%ج.م85.00ج.م63.00n/a5
May ’25ج.م62.45
ج.م74.63
+19.5%
12.1%ج.م85.00ج.م60.00n/a7
Apr ’25ج.م66.00
ج.م72.47
+9.8%
11.6%ج.م83.80ج.م60.00n/a6
Mar ’25ج.م67.00
ج.م72.47
+8.2%
11.6%ج.م83.80ج.م60.00n/a6
Feb ’25ج.م98.95
ج.م69.73
-29.5%
11.3%ج.م79.00ج.م59.70n/a7
Jan ’25ج.م84.00
ج.م66.94
-20.3%
13.7%ج.م79.00ج.م54.50ج.م48.917
Dec ’24ج.م79.35
ج.م65.46
-17.5%
12.5%ج.م79.00ج.م54.50ج.م53.957
Nov ’24ج.م75.71
ج.م63.89
-15.6%
13.7%ج.م79.00ج.م54.50ج.م57.007
Oct ’24ج.م67.50
ج.م60.43
-10.5%
10.9%ج.م75.00ج.م54.50ج.م63.297
Sep ’24ج.م52.75
ج.م57.43
+8.9%
5.6%ج.م63.00ج.م54.00ج.م60.907
Aug ’24ج.م47.51
ج.م56.40
+18.7%
6.0%ج.م63.00ج.م52.80ج.م60.517
Jul ’24ج.م44.55
ج.م53.31
+19.7%
11.3%ج.م63.00ج.م41.00ج.م59.127
Jun ’24ج.م46.30
ج.م51.23
+10.7%
9.1%ج.م54.80ج.م41.00ج.م62.006
May ’24ج.م47.37
ج.م51.23
+8.2%
9.1%ج.م54.80ج.م41.00ج.م62.456
Apr ’24ج.م43.81
ج.م48.62
+11.0%
11.0%ج.م54.00ج.م41.00ج.م66.005
Mar ’24ج.م40.91
ج.م44.32
+8.3%
15.3%ج.م52.50ج.م32.80ج.م67.006
Feb ’24ج.م42.34
ج.م40.06
-5.4%
10.3%ج.م44.00ج.م32.80ج.م98.955
Jan ’24ج.م38.79
ج.م38.36
-1.1%
12.3%ج.م44.00ج.م32.80ج.م84.005
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
ج.م76.47
Fair Value
37.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/09 22:08
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/09 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries Co. (S.A.E.) is covered by 10 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Soha SaniourArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Dareen El ArousyBeltone Financial
Ali AfifiBeltone Financial