Misr Fertilizer Production Company

CASE:MFPC Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م82.1b

Misr Fertilizer Production Valuation

Is MFPC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MFPC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MFPC (EGP39.51) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP29.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MFPC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFPC?

Key metric: As MFPC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MFPC. This is calculated by dividing MFPC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MFPC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.7x
Earningsج.م12.31b
Market Capج.م82.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MFPC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.)
5.8x9.8%ج.م63.7b
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE
7.9x10.6%ج.م10.9b
KZPC Kafr El Zayat For Pesticides & Chemicals(S.A.E)
7.6xn/aج.م2.2b
SMFR Samad Misr EGYFERT.S.A.E
8.4xn/aج.م843.9m
MFPC Misr Fertilizer Production
6.7x-2.8%ج.م82.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MFPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MFPC 6.7xIndustry Avg. 8.5xNo. of Companies7PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (8.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MFPC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MFPC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.7x
Fair PE Ratio7.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MFPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MFPC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م39.51
ج.م42.82
+8.4%
11.4%ج.م49.00ج.م37.00n/a6
Dec ’25ج.م40.89
ج.م42.04
+2.8%
11.9%ج.م49.00ج.م37.00n/a5
Nov ’25ج.م42.49
ج.م44.37
+4.4%
15.6%ج.م56.00ج.م37.00n/a6
Oct ’25ج.م43.05
ج.م42.53
-1.2%
19.5%ج.م56.00ج.م30.00n/a6
Sep ’25ج.م45.10
ج.م42.53
-5.7%
19.5%ج.م56.00ج.م30.00n/a6
Aug ’25ج.م45.22
ج.م42.53
-5.9%
19.5%ج.م56.00ج.م30.00n/a6
Jul ’25ج.م45.75
ج.م42.23
-7.7%
20.2%ج.م56.00ج.م29.86n/a5
Jun ’25ج.م44.00
ج.م42.23
-4.0%
20.2%ج.م56.00ج.م29.86n/a5
May ’25ج.م42.00
ج.م41.38
-1.5%
23.4%ج.م56.00ج.م28.18n/a6
Apr ’25ج.م53.89
ج.م37.00
-31.3%
20.2%ج.م46.94ج.م28.18n/a5
Mar ’25ج.م63.05
ج.م37.00
-41.3%
20.2%ج.م46.94ج.م28.18n/a5
Feb ’25ج.م82.49
ج.م35.29
-57.2%
22.1%ج.م46.94ج.م26.78n/a6
Jan ’25ج.م64.25
ج.م35.29
-45.1%
22.1%ج.م46.94ج.م26.78n/a6
Dec ’24ج.م61.05
ج.م31.42
-48.5%
20.0%ج.م44.08ج.م24.24ج.م40.897
Nov ’24ج.م57.85
ج.م28.58
-50.6%
14.0%ج.م35.92ج.م24.24ج.م42.497
Oct ’24ج.م38.90
ج.م27.16
-30.2%
15.5%ج.م35.92ج.م23.69ج.م43.056
Sep ’24ج.م26.33
ج.م25.40
-3.5%
6.2%ج.م28.10ج.م23.69ج.م45.106
Aug ’24ج.م24.94
ج.م25.40
+1.9%
6.2%ج.م28.10ج.م23.69ج.م45.226
Jul ’24ج.م25.53
ج.م23.25
-8.9%
16.7%ج.م28.10ج.م16.53ج.م45.755
Jun ’24ج.م17.89
ج.م21.22
+18.6%
14.2%ج.م25.35ج.م16.53ج.م44.006
May ’24ج.م19.39
ج.م21.22
+9.4%
14.2%ج.م25.35ج.م16.53ج.م42.006
Apr ’24ج.م17.53
ج.م19.84
+13.2%
15.0%ج.م25.35ج.م16.53ج.م53.895
Mar ’24ج.م16.31
ج.م17.64
+8.2%
11.5%ج.م19.76ج.م14.88ج.م63.054
Feb ’24ج.م16.64
ج.م17.09
+2.7%
14.6%ج.م19.76ج.م14.33ج.م82.494
Jan ’24ج.م15.69
ج.م17.09
+8.9%
14.6%ج.م19.76ج.م14.33ج.م64.254
Dec ’23ج.م14.86
ج.م15.96
+7.4%
13.8%ج.م19.76ج.م14.33ج.م61.054

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 03:29
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Misr Fertilizer Production Company is covered by 12 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Soha SaniourArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Dareen El ArousyBeltone Financial
Ali AfifiBeltone Financial