Misr Fertilizer Production Valuation
Is MFPC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MFPC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MFPC (EGP52.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP14.8)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MFPC is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFPC?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is MFPC's n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | ج.م112.34b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 16.7x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 32.5x |
PEG Ratio | 1.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 8.4x | ||
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.) | 8.5x | 12.5% | ج.م85.8b |
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE | 9.4x | 19.9% | ج.م5.8b |
KZPC Kafr El Zayat For Pesticides & Chemicals(S.A.E) | 8.5x | n/a | ج.م1.5b |
EGAL Egypt Aluminum | 7.3x | 3.8% | ج.م39.0b |
MFPC Misr Fertilizer Production | 18.2x | 12.4% | ج.م112.3b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MFPC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFPC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (8.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MFPC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 18.2x |
Fair PE Ratio | 15.4x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MFPC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | ج.م52.28 | ج.م37.00 -29.2% | 20.2% | ج.م46.94 | ج.م28.18 | n/a | 5 |
Mar ’25 | ج.م63.05 | ج.م37.00 -41.3% | 20.2% | ج.م46.94 | ج.م28.18 | n/a | 5 |
Feb ’25 | ج.م82.49 | ج.م35.29 -57.2% | 22.1% | ج.م46.94 | ج.م26.78 | n/a | 6 |
Jan ’25 | ج.م64.25 | ج.م35.29 -45.1% | 22.1% | ج.م46.94 | ج.م26.78 | n/a | 6 |
Dec ’24 | ج.م61.05 | ج.م31.42 -48.5% | 20.0% | ج.م44.08 | ج.م24.24 | n/a | 7 |
Nov ’24 | ج.م57.85 | ج.م28.58 -50.6% | 14.0% | ج.م35.92 | ج.م24.24 | n/a | 7 |
Oct ’24 | ج.م38.90 | ج.م27.16 -30.2% | 15.5% | ج.م35.92 | ج.م23.69 | n/a | 6 |
Sep ’24 | ج.م26.33 | ج.م25.40 -3.5% | 6.2% | ج.م28.10 | ج.م23.69 | n/a | 6 |
Aug ’24 | ج.م24.94 | ج.م25.40 +1.9% | 6.2% | ج.م28.10 | ج.م23.69 | n/a | 6 |
Jul ’24 | ج.م25.53 | ج.م23.25 -8.9% | 16.7% | ج.م28.10 | ج.م16.53 | n/a | 5 |
Jun ’24 | ج.م17.89 | ج.م21.22 +18.6% | 14.2% | ج.م25.35 | ج.م16.53 | n/a | 6 |
May ’24 | ج.م19.39 | ج.م21.22 +9.4% | 14.2% | ج.م25.35 | ج.م16.53 | n/a | 6 |
Apr ’24 | ج.م17.53 | ج.م19.84 +13.2% | 15.0% | ج.م25.35 | ج.م16.53 | n/a | 5 |
Mar ’24 | ج.م16.31 | ج.م17.64 +8.2% | 11.5% | ج.م19.76 | ج.م14.88 | ج.م63.05 | 4 |
Feb ’24 | ج.م16.64 | ج.م17.09 +2.7% | 14.6% | ج.م19.76 | ج.م14.33 | ج.م82.49 | 4 |
Jan ’24 | ج.م15.69 | ج.م17.09 +8.9% | 14.6% | ج.م19.76 | ج.م14.33 | ج.م64.25 | 4 |
Dec ’23 | ج.م14.86 | ج.م15.96 +7.4% | 13.8% | ج.م19.76 | ج.م14.33 | ج.م61.05 | 4 |
Nov ’23 | ج.م12.53 | ج.م14.56 +16.2% | 2.2% | ج.م14.88 | ج.م14.17 | ج.م57.85 | 4 |
Oct ’23 | ج.م11.57 | ج.م15.48 +33.8% | 12.1% | ج.م19.17 | ج.م14.17 | ج.م38.90 | 5 |
Sep ’23 | ج.م12.01 | ج.م15.48 +28.9% | 12.1% | ج.م19.17 | ج.م14.17 | ج.م26.33 | 5 |
Aug ’23 | ج.م10.95 | ج.م15.26 +39.4% | 13.0% | ج.م19.17 | ج.م13.77 | ج.م24.94 | 5 |
Jul ’23 | ج.م10.36 | ج.م15.26 +47.3% | 13.0% | ج.م19.17 | ج.م13.77 | ج.م25.53 | 5 |
Jun ’23 | ج.م11.03 | ج.م13.74 +24.6% | 21.9% | ج.م19.17 | ج.م9.26 | ج.م17.89 | 6 |
May ’23 | ج.م12.12 | ج.م13.74 +13.4% | 21.9% | ج.م19.17 | ج.م9.26 | ج.م19.39 | 6 |
Apr ’23 | ج.م11.01 | ج.م13.68 +24.3% | 21.9% | ج.م19.17 | ج.م9.26 | ج.م17.53 | 6 |
Mar ’23 | ج.م9.85 | ج.م12.37 +25.6% | 13.5% | ج.م13.99 | ج.م9.26 | ج.م16.31 | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.