Misr Fertilizer Production Company

CASE:MFPC Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م112.3b

Misr Fertilizer Production Valuation

Is MFPC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MFPC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MFPC (EGP52.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP14.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MFPC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFPC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MFPC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue16.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA32.5x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MFPC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.)
8.5x12.5%ج.م85.8b
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE
9.4x19.9%ج.م5.8b
KZPC Kafr El Zayat For Pesticides & Chemicals(S.A.E)
8.5xn/aج.م1.5b
EGAL Egypt Aluminum
7.3x3.8%ج.م39.0b
MFPC Misr Fertilizer Production
18.2x12.4%ج.م112.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MFPC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFPC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (8.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MFPC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MFPC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.2x
Fair PE Ratio15.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MFPC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MFPC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م52.28
ج.م37.00
-29.2%
20.2%ج.م46.94ج.م28.18n/a5
Mar ’25ج.م63.05
ج.م37.00
-41.3%
20.2%ج.م46.94ج.م28.18n/a5
Feb ’25ج.م82.49
ج.م35.29
-57.2%
22.1%ج.م46.94ج.م26.78n/a6
Jan ’25ج.م64.25
ج.م35.29
-45.1%
22.1%ج.م46.94ج.م26.78n/a6
Dec ’24ج.م61.05
ج.م31.42
-48.5%
20.0%ج.م44.08ج.م24.24n/a7
Nov ’24ج.م57.85
ج.م28.58
-50.6%
14.0%ج.م35.92ج.م24.24n/a7
Oct ’24ج.م38.90
ج.م27.16
-30.2%
15.5%ج.م35.92ج.م23.69n/a6
Sep ’24ج.م26.33
ج.م25.40
-3.5%
6.2%ج.م28.10ج.م23.69n/a6
Aug ’24ج.م24.94
ج.م25.40
+1.9%
6.2%ج.م28.10ج.م23.69n/a6
Jul ’24ج.م25.53
ج.م23.25
-8.9%
16.7%ج.م28.10ج.م16.53n/a5
Jun ’24ج.م17.89
ج.م21.22
+18.6%
14.2%ج.م25.35ج.م16.53n/a6
May ’24ج.م19.39
ج.م21.22
+9.4%
14.2%ج.م25.35ج.م16.53n/a6
Apr ’24ج.م17.53
ج.م19.84
+13.2%
15.0%ج.م25.35ج.م16.53n/a5
Mar ’24ج.م16.31
ج.م17.64
+8.2%
11.5%ج.م19.76ج.م14.88ج.م63.054
Feb ’24ج.م16.64
ج.م17.09
+2.7%
14.6%ج.م19.76ج.م14.33ج.م82.494
Jan ’24ج.م15.69
ج.م17.09
+8.9%
14.6%ج.م19.76ج.م14.33ج.م64.254
Dec ’23ج.م14.86
ج.م15.96
+7.4%
13.8%ج.م19.76ج.م14.33ج.م61.054
Nov ’23ج.م12.53
ج.م14.56
+16.2%
2.2%ج.م14.88ج.م14.17ج.م57.854
Oct ’23ج.م11.57
ج.م15.48
+33.8%
12.1%ج.م19.17ج.م14.17ج.م38.905
Sep ’23ج.م12.01
ج.م15.48
+28.9%
12.1%ج.م19.17ج.م14.17ج.م26.335
Aug ’23ج.م10.95
ج.م15.26
+39.4%
13.0%ج.م19.17ج.م13.77ج.م24.945
Jul ’23ج.م10.36
ج.م15.26
+47.3%
13.0%ج.م19.17ج.م13.77ج.م25.535
Jun ’23ج.م11.03
ج.م13.74
+24.6%
21.9%ج.م19.17ج.م9.26ج.م17.896
May ’23ج.م12.12
ج.م13.74
+13.4%
21.9%ج.م19.17ج.م9.26ج.م19.396
Apr ’23ج.م11.01
ج.م13.68
+24.3%
21.9%ج.م19.17ج.م9.26ج.م17.536
Mar ’23ج.م9.85
ج.م12.37
+25.6%
13.5%ج.م13.99ج.م9.26ج.م16.317

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.