Misr Fertilizer Production Company

CASE:MFPC Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م85.2b

Misr Fertilizer Production Valuation

Is MFPC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MFPC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ج.م16.91
Fair Value
75.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MFPC (EGP29.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP16.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MFPC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFPC?

Key metric: As MFPC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MFPC. This is calculated by dividing MFPC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MFPC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.9x
Earningsج.م10.73b
Market Capج.م85.18b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MFPC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.9x
ABUK Abu Qir Fertilizers and Chemical Industries (S.A.E.)
8.5x-3.00%ج.م68.1b
FERC Ferchem Misr for fertilizers and chemicalsE
26.4xn/aج.م36.8b
EFIC Egyptian Financial and Industrial SAE
12.2xn/aج.م18.4b
SMFR Samad Misr EGYFERT.S.A.E
52.3xn/aج.م2.0b
MFPC Misr Fertilizer Production
7.9x-2.15%ج.م85.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MFPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MFPC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MFPC 7.9xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the African Chemicals industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MFPC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MFPC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.9x
Fair PE Ratio8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MFPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MFPC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م29.41
ج.م30.71
+4.42%
19.35%ج.م38.78ج.م24.65n/a3
Sep ’26ج.م27.78
ج.م31.72
+14.17%
22.29%ج.م38.78ج.م24.65n/a2
Aug ’26ج.م26.95
ج.م32.43
+20.33%
18.07%ج.م38.78ج.م24.65n/a3
Jul ’26ج.م27.13
ج.م32.43
+19.54%
18.07%ج.م38.78ج.م24.65n/a3
Jun ’26ج.م27.25
ج.م32.43
+19.00%
18.07%ج.م38.78ج.م24.65n/a3
May ’26ج.م31.25
ج.م32.88
+5.20%
15.61%ج.م38.78ج.م24.65n/a4
Apr ’26ج.م29.55
ج.م32.88
+11.23%
15.61%ج.م38.78ج.م24.65n/a4
Mar ’26ج.م29.08
ج.م31.16
+7.16%
13.70%ج.م35.52ج.م24.65n/a5
Feb ’26ج.م29.64
ج.م30.68
+3.49%
13.18%ج.م35.52ج.م24.65n/a6
Jan ’26ج.م26.97
ج.م30.68
+13.75%
13.18%ج.م35.52ج.م24.65n/a6
Dec ’25ج.م29.64
ج.م30.48
+2.81%
11.94%ج.م35.52ج.م26.82n/a5
Nov ’25ج.م30.80
ج.م32.16
+4.42%
15.63%ج.م40.60ج.م26.82n/a6
Oct ’25ج.م31.21
ج.م30.83
-1.20%
19.52%ج.م40.60ج.م21.75ج.م30.056
Sep ’25ج.م32.69
ج.م30.83
-5.69%
19.52%ج.م40.60ج.م21.75ج.م27.786
Aug ’25ج.م32.78
ج.م30.83
-5.94%
19.52%ج.م40.60ج.م21.75ج.م26.956
Jul ’25ج.م33.17
ج.م30.62
-7.69%
20.23%ج.م40.60ج.م21.65ج.م27.135
Jun ’25ج.م31.90
ج.م3.37
-89.42%
20.23%ج.م4.47ج.م2.39ج.م27.255
May ’25ج.م30.45
ج.م30.00
-1.48%
23.40%ج.م40.60ج.م20.43ج.م31.256
Apr ’25ج.م39.07
ج.م2.96
-92.43%
20.19%ج.م3.75ج.م2.25ج.م29.555
Mar ’25ج.م45.71
ج.م2.96
-93.53%
20.19%ج.م3.75ج.م2.25ج.م29.085
Feb ’25ج.م59.80
ج.م2.82
-95.29%
22.13%ج.م3.75ج.م2.14ج.م29.646
Jan ’25ج.م46.58
ج.م2.82
-93.95%
22.13%ج.م3.75ج.م2.14ج.م26.976
Dec ’24ج.م44.26
ج.م22.77
-48.54%
20.01%ج.م31.95ج.م17.57ج.م29.647
Nov ’24ج.م41.94
ج.م20.72
-50.59%
13.96%ج.م26.04ج.م17.57ج.م30.807
Oct ’24ج.م28.20
ج.م19.69
-30.17%
15.54%ج.م26.04ج.م17.17ج.م31.216
ج.م30.71
Fair Value
3.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/06 19:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/06 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Misr Fertilizer Production Company is covered by 6 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Soha SaniourArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Mohamed OssamaArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Dareen El ArousyBeltone Financial