Orascom Development Egypt (S.A.E)

CASE:ORHD Stock Report

Mkt Cap: ج.م10.1b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Orascom Development Egypt (S.A.E) Valuation

Is ORHD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORHD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ORHD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.6x
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORHD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORHD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
MHOT Misr Hotels
7.6xn/aج.م2.7b
PHTV Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts
19.6xn/aج.م864.3m
CIRA Cairo for Investment & Real Estate DevelopmentE
21.6x30.3%ج.م8.2b
SCTS Suez Canal Company for Technology Settling (S.A.E)
9.3xn/aج.م6.7b
ORHD Orascom Development Egypt (S.A.E)
6.1x12.6%ج.م10.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORHD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.9%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the African Hospitality industry average (15.4x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORHD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORHD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.1x
Fair PE Ratio9.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.9x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORHD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ORHD's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ORHD's fair value for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORHD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م7.97
ج.م11.71
+46.9%
24.0%ج.م15.32ج.م7.96n/a4
Jan ’24ج.م7.03
ج.م9.70
+37.9%
11.0%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96n/a4
Dec ’23ج.م6.77
ج.م8.90
+31.4%
16.2%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10n/a4
Nov ’23ج.م5.92
ج.م8.90
+50.3%
16.2%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10n/a4
Oct ’23ج.م5.10
ج.م8.86
+73.6%
14.6%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10n/a5
Sep ’23ج.م4.87
ج.م8.86
+81.8%
14.6%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10n/a5
Aug ’23ج.م3.74
ج.م9.07
+142.4%
15.3%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10n/a6
Jul ’23ج.م3.70
ج.م9.07
+145.0%
15.3%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10n/a6
Jun ’23ج.م4.02
ج.م9.07
+125.5%
15.3%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10n/a6
May ’23ج.م4.39
ج.م9.19
+109.3%
13.4%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96n/a5
Apr ’23ج.م4.20
ج.م9.19
+118.8%
13.4%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96n/a5
Mar ’23ج.م4.40
ج.م9.27
+110.6%
12.8%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96n/a5
Feb ’23ج.م5.62
ج.م9.27
+64.9%
12.8%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96n/a5
Jan ’23ج.م6.00
ج.م9.53
+58.9%
12.5%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96ج.م7.034
Dec ’22ج.م5.77
ج.م9.48
+64.3%
12.9%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96ج.م6.774
Nov ’22ج.م5.43
ج.م8.90
+64.0%
11.3%ج.م10.60ج.م7.96ج.م5.924
Oct ’22ج.م4.99
ج.م8.90
+78.4%
11.3%ج.م10.60ج.م7.96ج.م5.104
Sep ’22ج.م5.14
ج.م8.76
+70.5%
10.8%ج.م10.60ج.م7.96ج.م4.875
Aug ’22ج.م5.54
ج.م8.76
+58.2%
10.8%ج.م10.60ج.م7.96ج.م3.745
Jul ’22ج.م5.57
ج.م8.46
+52.0%
4.6%ج.م9.10ج.م7.96ج.م3.705
Jun ’22ج.م5.69
ج.م8.46
+48.8%
4.6%ج.م9.10ج.م7.96ج.م4.025
May ’22ج.م5.88
ج.م8.46
+43.9%
4.6%ج.م9.10ج.م7.96ج.م4.395
Apr ’22ج.م5.27
ج.م8.47
+60.7%
4.2%ج.م9.10ج.م7.96ج.م4.206
Mar ’22ج.م5.53
ج.م8.17
+47.7%
8.6%ج.م9.10ج.م6.80ج.م4.406
Feb ’22ج.م5.18
ج.م8.16
+57.6%
9.4%ج.م9.10ج.م6.80ج.م5.625
Jan ’22ج.م4.90
ج.م8.72
+77.9%
16.4%ج.م11.50ج.م6.80ج.م6.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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