Orascom Development Egypt S.A.E.

CASE:ORHD Stock Report

Market Cap: ج.م21.2b

Orascom Development EgyptE Valuation

Is ORHD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORHD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORHD (EGP18.76) is trading above our estimate of fair value (EGP9.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORHD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORHD?

Key metric: As ORHD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ORHD. This is calculated by dividing ORHD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ORHD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.4x
Earningsج.م2.86b
Market Capج.م21.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORHD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORHD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.8x
MHOT Misr Hotels
7.3xn/aج.م11.7b
PHTV Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts
8xn/aج.م3.3b
SPHT El Shams Pyramids For Hotels & Touristic ProjectsE
87.2xn/aUS$125.3m
SDTI SHARM DREAMS for Touristic InvestmentE
68.6xn/aج.م906.1m
ORHD Orascom Development EgyptE
7.4x11.4%ج.م21.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the peer average (42.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORHD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ORHD 7.4xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.4x) compared to the African Hospitality industry average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORHD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORHD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ORHD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORHD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentج.م18.76
ج.م40.33
+115.0%
20.2%ج.م50.40ج.م30.26n/a4
Dec ’25ج.م15.80
ج.م36.38
+130.3%
29.8%ج.م50.40ج.م24.00n/a3
Nov ’25ج.م13.20
ج.م28.09
+112.8%
15.2%ج.م34.00ج.م24.00n/a3
Oct ’25ج.م14.40
ج.م28.09
+95.0%
15.2%ج.م34.00ج.م24.00n/a3
Sep ’25ج.م14.70
ج.م28.09
+91.1%
15.2%ج.م34.00ج.م24.00n/a3
Aug ’25ج.م12.55
ج.م28.09
+123.8%
15.2%ج.م34.00ج.م24.00n/a3
Jul ’25ج.م11.62
ج.م28.09
+141.7%
15.2%ج.م34.00ج.م24.00n/a3
Jun ’25ج.م10.99
ج.م28.09
+155.6%
15.2%ج.م34.00ج.م24.00n/a3
May ’25ج.م10.18
ج.م26.42
+159.5%
23.2%ج.م34.00ج.م19.00n/a3
Apr ’25ج.م11.47
ج.م23.69
+106.5%
30.0%ج.م34.00ج.م15.50n/a4
Mar ’25ج.م14.43
ج.م19.22
+33.2%
12.5%ج.م22.00ج.م15.50n/a4
Feb ’25ج.م12.90
ج.م19.22
+49.0%
12.5%ج.م22.00ج.م15.50n/a4
Jan ’25ج.م11.10
ج.م18.62
+67.7%
10.0%ج.م20.38ج.م15.50n/a4
Dec ’24ج.م13.00
ج.م16.96
+30.4%
16.6%ج.م20.38ج.م13.25ج.م15.806
Nov ’24ج.م9.48
ج.م16.09
+69.7%
17.7%ج.م20.38ج.م13.25ج.م13.206
Oct ’24ج.م10.79
ج.م16.09
+49.1%
17.7%ج.م20.38ج.م13.25ج.م14.406
Sep ’24ج.م10.32
ج.م16.09
+55.9%
17.7%ج.م20.38ج.م13.25ج.م14.706
Aug ’24ج.م10.69
ج.م15.32
+43.3%
22.6%ج.م20.38ج.م10.90ج.م12.556
Jul ’24ج.م10.87
ج.م14.60
+34.4%
25.0%ج.م20.38ج.م10.30ج.م11.627
Jun ’24ج.م11.24
ج.م13.77
+22.5%
23.8%ج.م20.38ج.م10.30ج.م10.996
May ’24ج.م9.00
ج.م12.71
+41.3%
14.7%ج.م15.32ج.م10.30ج.م10.185
Apr ’24ج.م7.88
ج.م12.71
+61.3%
14.7%ج.م15.32ج.م10.30ج.م11.475
Mar ’24ج.م9.30
ج.م11.55
+24.2%
21.9%ج.م15.32ج.م7.96ج.م14.435
Feb ’24ج.م8.24
ج.م11.71
+42.1%
24.0%ج.م15.32ج.م7.96ج.م12.904
Jan ’24ج.م7.03
ج.م9.70
+37.9%
11.0%ج.م10.77ج.م7.96ج.م11.104
Dec ’23ج.م6.77
ج.م8.90
+31.4%
16.2%ج.م10.77ج.م7.10ج.م13.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 04:59
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Orascom Development Egypt S.A.E. is covered by 7 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mahmoud GadArab African International Securities
Ahmed HafezBeltone Financial
Mai AttiaEFG-Hermes Research