Orascom Development EgyptE Valuation
Is ORHD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ORHD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ORHD (EGP10.38) is trading below our estimate of fair value (EGP11.45)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ORHD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORHD?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is ORHD's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ج.م11.73b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 3.5x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ORHD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 33x | ||
MHOT Misr Hotels | 10.6x | n/a | ج.م9.5b |
PHTV Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | 8.8x | n/a | ج.م2.9b |
TRTO Trans Oceans Tours | 51x | n/a | US$3.3m |
CIRA Cairo for Investment & Real Estate DevelopmentE | 61.6x | n/a | ج.م6.5b |
ORHD Orascom Development EgyptE | 4.1x | 26.8% | ج.م11.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (33x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ORHD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Hospitality Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the African Hospitality industry average (10.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ORHD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 4.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 8.6x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ORHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ج.م10.38 | ج.م26.42 +154.5% | 23.2% | ج.م34.00 | ج.م19.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | ج.م11.47 | ج.م23.69 +106.5% | 30.0% | ج.م34.00 | ج.م15.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | ج.م14.43 | ج.م19.22 +33.2% | 12.5% | ج.م22.00 | ج.م15.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | ج.م12.90 | ج.م19.22 +49.0% | 12.5% | ج.م22.00 | ج.م15.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | ج.م11.10 | ج.م18.62 +67.7% | 10.0% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م15.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | ج.م13.00 | ج.م16.96 +30.4% | 16.6% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م13.25 | n/a | 6 |
| Nov ’24 | ج.م9.48 | ج.م16.09 +69.7% | 17.7% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م13.25 | n/a | 6 |
| Oct ’24 | ج.م10.79 | ج.م16.09 +49.1% | 17.7% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م13.25 | n/a | 6 |
| Sep ’24 | ج.م10.32 | ج.م16.09 +55.9% | 17.7% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م13.25 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’24 | ج.م10.69 | ج.م15.32 +43.3% | 22.6% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م10.90 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’24 | ج.م10.87 | ج.م14.60 +34.4% | 25.0% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م10.30 | n/a | 7 |
| Jun ’24 | ج.م11.24 | ج.م13.77 +22.5% | 23.8% | ج.م20.38 | ج.م10.30 | n/a | 6 |
| May ’24 | ج.م9.00 | ج.م12.71 +41.3% | 14.7% | ج.م15.32 | ج.م10.30 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | ج.م7.88 | ج.م12.71 +61.3% | 14.7% | ج.م15.32 | ج.م10.30 | ج.م11.47 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | ج.م9.30 | ج.م11.55 +24.2% | 21.9% | ج.م15.32 | ج.م7.96 | ج.م14.43 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | ج.م8.24 | ج.م11.71 +42.1% | 24.0% | ج.م15.32 | ج.م7.96 | ج.م12.90 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | ج.م7.03 | ج.م9.70 +37.9% | 11.0% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.96 | ج.م11.10 | 4 |
| Dec ’23 | ج.م6.77 | ج.م8.90 +31.4% | 16.2% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.10 | ج.م13.00 | 4 |
| Nov ’23 | ج.م5.92 | ج.م8.90 +50.3% | 16.2% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.10 | ج.م9.48 | 4 |
| Oct ’23 | ج.م5.10 | ج.م8.86 +73.6% | 14.6% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.10 | ج.م10.79 | 5 |
| Sep ’23 | ج.م4.87 | ج.م8.86 +81.8% | 14.6% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.10 | ج.م10.32 | 5 |
| Aug ’23 | ج.م3.74 | ج.م9.07 +142.4% | 15.3% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.10 | ج.م10.69 | 6 |
| Jul ’23 | ج.م3.70 | ج.م9.07 +145.0% | 15.3% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.10 | ج.م10.87 | 6 |
| Jun ’23 | ج.م4.02 | ج.م9.07 +125.5% | 15.3% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.10 | ج.م11.24 | 6 |
| May ’23 | ج.م4.39 | ج.م9.19 +109.3% | 13.4% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.96 | ج.م9.00 | 5 |
| Apr ’23 | ج.م4.20 | ج.م9.19 +118.8% | 13.4% | ج.م10.77 | ج.م7.96 | ج.م7.88 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.