Stock Analysis

We Think Københavns Lufthavne (CPH:KBHL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

CPSE:KBHL
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Københavns Lufthavne A/S (CPH:KBHL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Københavns Lufthavne

What Is Københavns Lufthavne's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Københavns Lufthavne had kr.9.98b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CPSE:KBHL Debt to Equity History July 11th 2024

A Look At Københavns Lufthavne's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Københavns Lufthavne had liabilities of kr.1.59b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr.10.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had kr.72.0m in cash and kr.596.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total kr.11.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Københavns Lufthavne is worth kr.32.3b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6, it's fair to say Københavns Lufthavne does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 3.2 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. The good news is that Københavns Lufthavne grew its EBIT a smooth 53% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Københavns Lufthavne's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Københavns Lufthavne recorded free cash flow of 48% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On our analysis Københavns Lufthavne's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, net debt to EBITDA gives us cold feet. It's also worth noting that Københavns Lufthavne is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Considering this range of data points, we think Københavns Lufthavne is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Københavns Lufthavne you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.